The first 14 weeks of the NFL season are in the books. On to week 15. Let’s take a look at some of my favorite player prop bets for the Sunday games.
All odds come courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Tua Tagovailoa, Under 220.5 passing yards (-115)
Tua Tagovailoa has been a prolific passer this year, but Sunday’s game presents significant challenges. He’s going up against the Jets pass defense, which has held five of the last seven opposing quarterbacks under 160 passing yards. Tua’s top target, Tyreek Hill, is injured and may miss the game. If Hill plays, he may be hobbled by his ankle. The Dolphins’ offensive line is in disarray, with multiple starters potentially out for this game. And weather conditions will be unusually unfavorable for Miami, with winds gusting over 20 mph. It all adds up to the potential for a pretty modest output for Tua and the Dolphins passing game. I’ll take the under for Tua Tagovailoa and 220.5 passing yards.
Zach Wilson, Over 177.5 passing yards (-125)
The Miami Dolphins’ pass defense has held just two opposing quarterbacks under 178 yards all season. Even Tim Boyle exceeded that total against the Dolphins. Zach Wilson has exceeded that total in every one of the last seven games he has finished. The wind could muck this up, but I’ll take the over for Zach Wilson and 177.5 passing yards.
Zach Wilson, Over 13.5 rushing yards (-115)
Zach Wilson has rushed for more than 13 yards in six of his last eight games. I’ll take the over for Zach Wilson and 13.5 rushing yards.
Breece Hall, Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110)
Breece Hall has gone over 27 receiving yards in six of his last eight games. I’ll take the over for Breece Hall and 27.5 receiving yards.
Jeremy Ruckert, Over 10.5 receiving yards (-120)
Jeremy Ruckert has gone over 10 receiving yards in each of his last four games. In weather conditions that favor the short passing game, I’ll take the over for Jeremy Ruckert and 10.5 receiving yards.
Disclaimer: I am not a professional gambler. I do this for fun, not for profits. I cannot stress enough how bad an idea it would be to place your bets based on my picks. Use your own best judgment, have fun, and whatever you do, do not put a lot of faith in the picks herein.