The 15-2 Kansas City Chiefs come into this game as the top seed in the AFC. The Chiefs beat the Cleveland Browns 22 - 17 last week in the divisional round of the AFC playoffs. It was the ninth straight game the Chiefs have played that was decided by a touchdown or less. The last eight Chiefs wins have been decided by a single score. Frankly, the Chiefs have been playing with fire. They have not won a game by more than one score since they destroyed the New York Jets on November 1, 2020. Keep cutting it close like that and sooner or later you’re likely to drop a game. For now, however, the Chiefs are the hottest team in the AFC (not counting the meaningless loss to the Los Angeles Chargers in the last game of the season when Patrick Mahomes didn’t play). The Chiefs offense behind Mahomes led the NFL in yards and was sixth in points. The defense, however, has been pedestrian. The Chiefs have barely been average against both the run and the pass this year. That average defense is where opponents can exploit the Chiefs and possibly generate an upset.
The 15-3 Buffalo Bills come into this game off a 17-3 domination of the Baltimore Ravens last week. It was the Bills’ second victory of this post-season after going through the previous 25 years without a single win in the playoffs. The Bills have now won their last eight games and 11 of their last 12. They have arguably been the best team in the NFL over the last five weeks, winning their last five contests by an absurd combined score of 186 - 81. The Bills offense is peaking at the right time, as they have averaged 35 points per game over their last 10 games. Bills quarterback Josh Allen has blossomed into a superstar in his third year in the league, and the Bills have surrounded him with the talent necessary to shine. The Bills boast the #2 offense in the NFL, to go along with the #14 defense. After struggling in the first half of the year, the Bills defense over the last eight games has been elite, allowing an average of just 17 points per game. This is a tough, well balanced, dominant Bills team peaking at just the right time. They may be the best team in the NFL right now. A win against the Chiefs on the road would not be all that surprising.
It’s the Chiefs and the Bills in the nightcap of a Sunday Conference Championships doubleheader. Enjoy the game everybody.