Looking back at the composite results of drafts from the past is a great way to get an idea of how much value a team can expect to get out of its picks.
In this seven-round Jets mock, I will be selecting from the past 10 players that have been drafted in each slot that the Jets currently own. Imagine that the Jets are getting the rookie-year versions of these players.
Round 1, Pick 11
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Jonah Williams, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Marshon Lattimore, Vernon Hargreaves, Trae Waynes, Taylor Lewan, D.J. Fluker, Dontari Poe, J.J. Watt, Anthony Davis
This selection is not very difficult. Watt is the NFL’s all-time leader in sacks per game, with 0.857 (minimum 100 games played). Would he become that dominant playing with the Jets, or in any other situation for that matter? It is tough to answer a hypothetical question like that. Nevertheless, even if Watt only became half of the player that he is, he would still be one of the best pass-rushers in Jets history. Pick: J.J. Watt
Round 2, Pick 48
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Erik McCoy, Uchenna Nwosu, Joe Mixon, Jason Spriggs, Denzel Perryman, Timmy Jernigan, Le’Veon Bell, Tavon Wilson, Stefen Wisniewski, Jimmy Clausen
I like McCoy here. He was elite at center for the Saints in his rookie season. Adding McCoy to the fray would mean Connor McGovern would have to kick over to guard, but that should be no issue. McGovern started his career at guard for the Broncos and was making strides in his second season there before Matt Paradis’ injury forced him into the center position. Pick: Erik McCoy
Round 3, Pick 68
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Jachai Polite, Justin Reid, Dawuane Smoot, Will Redmond, Clive Walford, Dezmen Southward, Leon McFadden, DeVier Posey, Kelvin Sheppard, Jon Asamoah
Sheppard is the most accomplished player, starting 67 games at inside linebacker, but Reid will likely usurp him one day, having started and played excellently at safety in each of his two seasons as a Texan.
The dilemma is obvious — the Jets have no need for a safety or inside linebacker. If we ignore those two players, we are forced to choose from a group of eight that has shown little-to-nothing.
I’ll go with Asamoah, the guard out of Illinois. While he has not resurfaced in the league following his fifth season, he started 56 games for the Chiefs and Falcons, mostly grading out at a high level while playing right guard. Pick: Jon Asamoah
Round 3, Pick 79
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): David Long, Rasheem Green, ArDarius Stewart, Isaac Seumalo, Eli Harold, Terrence Brooks, Markus Wheaton, Brandon Hardin, Leonard Hankerson, Donald Butler
Seumalo started all 16 games for the Eagles in 2019 and was Pro Football Focus’ 17th-ranked guard out of 64 qualifiers. Not much of a debate here.
With Asamoah and Seumalo, the Jets have now added plenty of depth and competition to an offensive line group that desperately needs it. Regarding the real Draft, adding talent to the interior offensive line during the middle-to-late rounds should be a priority for the Jets this weekend. Pick: Isaac Seumalo
Round 4, Pick 120
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Gary Jennings, Will Dissly, Ben Gedeon, David Onyemata, Josh Shaw, Logan Thomas, Gerald Hodges, James-Michael Johnson, Alex Henery, Geno Atkins
I’ll take one Geno Atkins, please. His 593 career pressures and 78.0 sacks are enough to blow the combined production of the other nine players out of the water.
It’s hilarious to think that, with the same selection in back-to-back drafts, one team selected a potential Hall-of-Fame defensive tackle while the other drafted a kicker that only lasted three seasons with them (Henery). The draft is wild. Pick: Geno Atkins
Round 5, Pick 159
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Byron Cowart, Daurice Fountain, Jermaine Eluemunor, K.J. Dillon, JJ Nelson, Chris Smith, Micah Hyde, Chris Rainey, Lee Smith, Riley Cooper
There isn’t an obvious pick here. Hyde is clearly the best player with five seasons as a primary starter, 80 total starts, and 35 approximate value (17 more than second-ranked Cooper), but again, the Jets do not need a safety.
Looking at the rest of the group, though. . . Hyde is just too far ahead to pass up on. With the future of Jamal Adams up in the air, some quality depth is worth adding in the fifth round. Pick: Micah Hyde
Round 6, Pick 192
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Isaiah Buggs, Jamil Demby, Alex Armah, Kolby Listenbee, Darius Philon, Jordan Zumwalt, John Boyett, Charles Mitchell, Matt Bosher, Danny Batten
I’m doing it. We’re going with the punter.
Bosher is the best player on the list, and it is hardly debatable. He has been the Falcons’ punter for nine consecutive seasons, missing one game from 2011-18 until he played only three games in 2019 due to a groin injury. The former Miami Hurricane has ranked top-10 in hang-time average in each of the seven seasons that PFF has tracked it (since 2013), leading the NFL in 2014 and 2017.
With Lachlan Edwards still on the open market, the punter position is a gaping hole that needs to be filled. Many Jets fans are losing sleep thinking about this pressing issue. Bosher is here to save our souls. Pick: Matt Bosher
Round 6, Pick 212
Past 10 players (2019 to 2010): Dennis Daley, Greg Senat, Kofi Amichia, Kavon Frazier, Anthony Chickillo, Marquis Flowers, Joe Kruger, Michael Smith, Zach Clayton, Chris McCoy
Chickillo is clearly the best player here, even with only nine games started over five seasons in the league. He has 7.5 career sacks and has been a decent rotational edge defender for Pittsburgh.
Six of these players have played three games or fewer, while four have played none. The only others to play regularly outside of Chickillo are Daley, Frazier, and Flowers. Daley started nine games for Carolina in his rookie season and largely struggled. Frazier has mostly played on special teams for Dallas, missing a ton of tackles in the limited time he has played safety. Flowers is a special teams player and could not make the Redskins roster in 2019. Pick: Anthony Chickillo
Here is the class, which essentially gives us a look at the best pick made in each slot over the past decade:
- 1 - 11: J.J. Watt, DE
- 2 - 48: Erik McCoy, C
- 3 - 68: Jon Asamoah, G
- 3 - 79: Isaac Seumalo, G
- 4 - 120: Geno Atkins, DT
- 5 - 159: Micah Hyde, S
- 6 - 192: Matt Bosher, P
- 6 - 212: Anthony Chickillo, EDGE