Welcome back to yet another grand edition of the 2017 Jets Coverage Stats series! Today, we look at the numbers in coverage during Week 13 of the 2017 season for the Jets and new additions Avery Williamson and Trumaine Johnson.
- The coverage numbers include only legitimate targets into the general area of a receiver/defender. Throwaways and deflections at the line are excluded.
- The stats for each individual are that of the quarterback’s passing numbers when targeting the individual’s matchup. A player could have an interception to his coverage credit even if the interception itself was made by a teammate. For example, when Tyrod Taylor threw an interception targeting Darron Lee’s matchup, Juston Burris ended up with the interception, but I would add that incompletion and interception to Lee’s resume.
- I did not apply the same rule to fumbles; I will only count those if forced by the covering defender.
- Penalties counted are only those accumulated in coverage.
Remember that these numbers reflect raw production only, and not always are indicative of true performance level! It’s plausible that a defender can get completely smoked and end up being credited with an interception, or vice versa, bringing very tough coverage but allowing big yardage due to an incredible catch. Learn from the numbers, but don’t expect them to tell the entire story!
WEEK 13 SYNOPSIS
Alex Smith lit the Jets defense on absolute fire, specifically through the air, but also with his legs. Smith completed 19 of 33 passes for 366 yards, 4 touchdowns, and no interceptions, for a 135.9 passer rating and a robust 19.3 yards per completion. He added a 70 yard run.
Overall coverage yield: The first chart shows the total coverage numbers allowed by the Jets in Week 13.
Alex Smith was on fire in this game, but it wasn’t just an example of a quarterback putting his team on his back. The Chiefs skill position players lit up the Jets defense, consistently dominating their battles to create easy downfield throws. Rashard Robinson was burnt toast, most notably allowing an uncontested 79-yard touchdown bomb to Tyreek Hill. Marcus Maye allowed more yards in this game than he did for the entirety of the season prior. Morris Claiborne and Trumaine Johnson each allowed their first touchdowns of the year.
Positively, Julian Stanford had a very impressive game filling in for Darron Lee. Unfortunately, I can’t celebrate his production too much, since Stanford is now a Bill. Avery Williamson had his most positively impactful game in coverage. The four targets he saw was his second highest total to that point of the year, and he held all four short of the first down marker.
Coverage by matchup and field side: The chart below shows the Week 13 coverage yield for each Jet broken down by opponent matchup and the side of the field they lined up on. Check out my glossary at the bottom of the image!
Albert Wilson, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce were dominant. Hill collected three 40+ yarders; the aforementioned 79-yard score on Robinson, a 40-yard bomb on Maye, and a 40-yard score on Claiborne. Wilson added three first downs.
Kelce manhandled Maye for 2 touchdowns in the first quarter. He also schooled Jamal Adams for a should-be first down, but luckily Alex Smith threw a rare inaccurate ball.
In Week 7, Trumaine Johnson held Larry Fitzgerald to only 29 yards and one first down. Fitzgerald’s 3 targets in that game was the second lowest total of his career. Fitz would get revenge in their second meeting. Fitzgerald caught 4 of 4 targets against Johnson for 41 yards, including Johnson’s first touchdown allowed of the year. With this game, Johnson had given up 13 catches over Weeks 12-13.
As mentioned, Avery Williamson had a strong game in coverage. He held three completions short of the line with good reaction time and finish ability, and also forced one incompletion in man coverage, seen below. Williamson sticks to the tight end, Stephen Anderson, and forces him to try and make a contested catch, which he is unable to do. Nice route recognition.
Marcus Maye showed significant cracks in his man coverage ability early in this game. On his first touchdown allowed to Travis Kelce, Maye is lined up as an outside linebacker opposite Kelce (on the defense’s right side) and is going to man up against him. However, Maye bites too hard on the play action and loses Kelce. Rontez Miles follows up with terrible help, but Maye shouldn’t have let Kelce break this open.
The second touchdown allowed by Maye is less complicated. Maye is in man coverage against Kelce when he motions to his side. Maye plays Kelce towards the sideline, but Kelce turns upfield with plenty of room due to Maye’s wrong guess on the route.
After a horrid mid-year stretch, Jamal Adams started to clean things up a bit. The Chiefs were 0 for 3 targeting him in this game (though one was an Alex Smith mishap), Adams’ second consecutive game without a catch allowed and marking a four-game stretch with only two total catches allowed.
A great break here from the safety spot to knock this pass away; but it should be a pick.
Here is the referenced play where Adams lucked out. He is on an island with Kelce on the outside (top of the image). Kelce easily dismisses him with an inside move, and has plenty of room towards the sideline. Fortunately for Adams and the Jets, Smith his hit when he lets go of this one.
Trumaine gave up his first touchdown of the season in his typical fashion; allowing an easy inside completion. Larry Fitzgerald sells one step outside, and that gives him all the room he needs to make an impressive grab for the score.
All in all, an 82 passer rating allowed (Trumaine’s mark to this point of the year) when you are facing a heavy diet of targets against elite receivers is very respectable. I’ll take that from my top corner. Most great receivers accrue much higher average passer ratings when targeted, so in that respect Johnson is having a very positive impact. However, I think Trumaine is going to have to be a little better to justify his deal. Hopefully a more press-oriented scheme helps him accomplish that, and I certainly think it will. He seemed like a fish out of water last year.
I definitely believe in the positive impact Johnson will have on Claiborne, Adams, and Maye, and if he keeps playing the way he has, as I mentioned that’s pretty solid for your top corner. Despite that, I think he needs to be less susceptible to such high first down and yards per attempt rates to be worth the money beyond simply lightening the load for his teammates. He absolutely doesn’t need to be a top 2-5 corner, and I don’t think he will be, but if he is going to continue being a first down machine, then I just can’t get on board with the value. I simply feel he just needs to be a bit better in lessening the production volume he allows - again, he doesn’t have to be 2009 Revis, but visible improvement in Todd Bowles’ defense will make me feel much better about the contract. And, I’m willing to bet it will happen.
Here is how the Jets are stacking up after thirteen weeks of work in 2017, sorted from top to bottom by total yards allowed.
What are your thoughts on the Jets in coverage through 3⁄4 of 2017? Is Trumaine Johnson going to be worth the money, or is he simply a decent #1? Who else has surprised you?
Who has been the biggest positive surprise in the coverage report?
This poll is closed