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Jets-Bills Preview: Statistical Scouting Report of Buffalo

A look at the numbers behind the 5-2 Bills

New York Jets v Buffalo Bills Photo by Tom Szczerbowski/Getty Images

Similar to the Jets, the Bills sent some signals out through their offseason moves that they were looking more towards the future than the present. Despite that, they currently sit at 5-2, giving them the fourth best record in the AFC. Here are some numbers to know going into the Thursday Night Football matchup.

+2.0 - The average turnover margin currently sported by the Bills, best in the league by a wide margin (second place Jacksonville is at +1.2). The primary reason is a defense forcing a league-high 2.4 turnovers per game, including 3+ in each of its last four games. The offense has done its part as well. Buffalo has turned the ball over only 0.4 times per game, second best in the league behind Kansas City.

12.3 - Targets per game for Buffalo receivers, more than only the Bears. Three of Buffalo’s top four leaders in receiving yards, Charles Clay (258), LeSean McCoy (242), and Nick O’Leary (170) are not wide receivers.

-4 - The Bills’ point differential in three road games this season, where they own a 1-2 record. They’ve dominated at home, going 4-0 with three two-possession victories, but have been noticeably worse outside the state of New York.

3.8 - Yards per carry this season for LeSean McCoy, a career low after setting a career high of 5.4 last year. Despite that, McCoy is still carrying as much weight as ever in his ninth season. His 25.0 touches per game is a career high.

0 - Number of teams besides Buffalo ranked in the top five of both fewest yards per rush allowed (3.5) and lowest passer rating allowed (74.5).

42 - Penalties committed by the Bills this season, tied for the second fewest in the league. These aren’t Rex Ryan’s Bills anymore.

7th - The Bills’ rank in special teams DVOA entering Week 9. They’re solid across the board, ranking 12th in FG%, 10th in punt return average, 12th in kick return average, and 5th in punt return average allowed.

Poll

Which Bills unit is the biggest mismatch for the Jets?

This poll is closed

  • 5%
    Passing Offense
    (10 votes)
  • 30%
    Rushing Offense
    (52 votes)
  • 19%
    Pass Defense
    (34 votes)
  • 25%
    Rush Defense
    (43 votes)
  • 2%
    Special Teams
    (4 votes)
  • 16%
    Coaching
    (28 votes)
171 votes total Vote Now