Let's continue our look at quarterback prospects in the 2016 NFL Draft by examining Mississippi State's Dak Prescott.
Arm Length: 32 1/4"
Hand Size: 10 7/8"
Completion Percentage: 62.8%
Yards Per Attempt: 8.0
Touchdown Rate: 6.0%
Interception Rate: 2.0%
40 Time: 4.79 seconds
Vertical Jump: 32.5 inches
Broad Jump: 116 inches
3 Cone Drill: 7.11 second
Bill Parcells Quarterback Rules (4/4)
Was he a senior? Yes
Was he a three year starter? Yes
Did he graduate? Yes
Did he win at least 23 games as starting quarterback? Yes
26-27-60 Rule (2/3)
Did he score at least a 26 on the Wonderlic? No
Did he start at least 27 games? Yes
Did he complete at least 60% of his passes? Yes
Football Outsiders' QBASE Formula
Adequate Starter (500-1499) 26.6%
Upper Tier (1500-2500) 12.8%
Elite (>2500) 5.7%
The projection rates Prescott far ahead of Lynch and Cook, prospects expected to go earlier in the draft. Often compared to Tim Tebow earlier in his college career, Prescott did not have as much NFL-caliber talent surrounding him, despite the presence of projected 2017 first-round wide receiver Fred Ross. Prescott's projection here accounts for that, as well as him facing the toughest set of opposing defenses of any quarterback prospect in this year's draft (No. 14 in FBS last season).
QBASE does not predict Prescott to be a likely NFL success, but his 45 percent chance of being at least an adequate starter gives him enough upside to make him worth a Day 2 draft pick.
Accuracy: 75.3% (10th of 22 QB prospects)
Accuracy Under Pressure: 61.0% (15th of 22 QB prospects)
Deep Passing Accuracy: 50.0% (tied for 7th of 22 QB prospects)
What the Experts Say
Mike Mayock: "He is what he is. He’s one of those middle-round quarterbacks. There are teams that are going to want to work with him. He’s got height, weight, he’s got some arm strength. What he did in the state of Mississippi to galvanize that team in that state I thought was special. What happens with those kind of guys is a quarterback coach or two will fall in love with the kid."
Gil Brandt: "Prescott has good size and a lot of talent, and he showed off his athleticism at the combine. He's coming from a system -- a Tebow-like offense -- that will require some re-tooling of him as a player. He can be had in the third round."
Greg Cosell: "Prescott has two issues. He has a tendency to drift when he throws the ball. His feet aren’t under him and I’m talking about even when there’s no pressure at all. And secondly, he doesn’t have a great sense of timing and anticipation. The ball comes out. If you just closed your eyes and opened them without knowing who he was, he kind of looks like Donovan McNabb, kind of the way he throws it. He’s got a good arm, but he’s a drifter and he falls away from throws."
To the Film!
vs. Texas A&M
vs. NC State
vs. Louisiana Tech