On September 13, 2015, just hours before kickoff of the Jets' season opener, I dusted off the crystal ball and made some bold predictions for the 2015 season. This was my last shot at this before leaving the predicting business in the capable hands of WilkersontoHawaii. Here's what I foresaw:
1. The Jets will finish in the top five in the NFL in terms of least sacks allowed for the season.
2. The Jets defense will finish in the top three in both yards and points allowed (not counting points given up by the offense or special teams, such as pick sixes or kickoff return TDs).
3. The Jets will have two 1000 yard receivers for the first time since Wayne Chrebet and Keyshawn Johnson pulled it off in 1998.
4. The Jets will make the playoffs for the first time since 2010.
5. Chris Ivory will rush for more yards in 2015 than any player in Jets history other than Curtis Martin.
And a bonus prediction: the Jets will finish ahead of the Patriots in the final regular season standings.
So how am I doing? Turns out, not bad. Not bad at all. Here's how it shakes out at the 9 game mark:
1. The Jets are in fact leading the NFL in fewest sacks allowed with 10. This one's looking prescient.
2. Close so far, but not close enough. The Jets currently rank 4th in the NFL in yards allowed per game and 9th in points allowed per game. The points allowed figure is only 16 points behind 3rd place for the season, so the Jets are still well within striking distance of achieving this one, but right now this prediction is out of the money on both counts.
3. The Jets currently have two receivers in Marshall and Decker who, if they both play all remaining games and continue their current per game averages, will both finish over 1000 yards for the season. So the fates willing, if Decker and Marshall remain healthy for seven more games this prediction will hit on both counts.
4. The Jets are currently sitting just off the pace in the playoff race. They are still in great position to make it as a Wild Card, but as of today this prediction is just barely out of the money.
5. If Ivory plays every remaining game and continues his current per game rushing pace, he will end up with slightly more than 1200 rushing yards. Close, but no cigar. He would need 1403 yards to beat out Thomas Jones for most rushing yards by a Jets back not named Martin. To do that Ivory would have to stay healthy, play in every remaining game and average 109 yards per game over that stretch. Not completely outside the realm of possibility, but this one looks like a long shot.
Bonus prediction: ummm... never mind.
So there you have it. Not bad for bold predictions. Two on pace to come to fruition, three outside the money but still close enough to come true if things work out, and a bonus prediction that clearly shows signs of early onset dementia.
Overall, if we had been told this is where we would stand on the bold predictions nine games into the season, I think must of us would have said "sign me up for that." It is a mark of how far the Jets have come since 2014 that what seemed bold in September seems mostly well within reach in November. Here's hoping in January we'll see at least four of the five come to fruition, with special emphasis on number four.
How are you doing in your bold predictions for 2015, and what predictions do you have for the rest of the season?