Disclaimer: A Bold Prediction is not something that is likely or probable to happen. Bold Predictions are guesses that are beyond what anyone can reasonably expect to happen, but not so far as to be physically impossible. Saying that Geno Smith is going to throw for 162 yards and one touchdown is not a bold prediction, nor is saying that Chris Johnson will run for 423 yards and eight touchdowns. By definition, Bold Predictions are unlikely, but possible, to occur. Since this is a Jets site, they are also pro-Jets predictions. As always, the Final Score prediction is meant to be realistic, not a Bold Prediction.
Let's take a quick look at last week's Bold Predictions results before moving on to Sunday's game. This was the week of close, but no cigar for me. I came oh so close to having multiple predictions come true, but fell short on each one. I predicted that Chris Ivory would shred the Patriots run defense to the tune of 120 yards and 2 TDs. Close, oh so close, but nope. 107 yards and 1 TD. I predicted Geno Smith would have more passing yards than Tom Brady. Nope. But close. It turns out Geno outgained Brady in yards from scrimmage, 263 to 261. That makes three for three for Smith in outgaining Brady. But he did not throw for more yards than Brady. I predicted Decker would find Revis Island very hospitable indeed, with 90+ receiving yards and a TD. Not all that close, but Decker wasn't exactly stranded on Revis Island either, amassing a very respectable 65 yards on four catches. I predicted Richardson would score a TD. He didn't, but he was out there on the goal line for one of the first times this year. My bonus prediction was Powell would break off a long punt return of 30 yards or more. It was actually a long kickoff return of 60+ yards. Again, close, but no cigar. That brings me to three correct predictions out of 35 so far. Brilliant. I'm also four for seven this year in bonus predictions. Not bad. I brought my record to 3-4 in predicting the winner of the game, having incorrectly predicted a huge upset win over the Patriots, by the score of 27-24. The final score was 27-25, Patriots. A blocked field goal would have given the Jets the victory. Again, agonizingly close, but wrong nonetheless. Sigh...
Let's see what I can get wrong this week.
Here are my five Bold Predictions for Sunday's game:
1. Percy Harvin will have limited impact on the offense, but he will thrill Jets fans by taking a kickoff to the house.
2. Jace Amaro will have a big day with 90+ yards receiving and a TD.
3. Phillip Adams and Calvin Pryor will combine for two turnovers and a TD.
4. Jeremy Kerley will make a rare appearance and notch 100+ yards for the first time since 2012 and a TD.
5. The Jets will limit the Bills to 35 yards or less on the ground.
And a bonus prediction: the Jets will shock the world and actually generate multiple turnovers for the first time this year.
Final Score: This game just presents too many problematic matchups for the Jets. It will be very difficult to run against the NFL's best run defense, and the Jets don't win when they don't run the ball well. The Jets will struggle to contain the Bills' pass rush and Geno is terrible under pressure. The Jets turn the ball over too much and the Bills are great at generating turnovers. Everything points to a Bills win. After a 1-6 start I'm done picking the Jets to win when common sense says otherwise. Bills 23, Jets 20.