FanPost

Do we need to draft a QB next year?

Now that I put something to grab your attention in the title, I'll go ahead and explain. I decided to take a look at the last 10 years of QBs taken in the second and third rounds. I'll go ahead and list them below. Next to the name I'll put a plus, minus or question mark as to whether or not they are successful. Some of the more recent ones might be skewed one way or the other because of such short resumes

2012
Brock Osweiler (?)
Russel Wilson (+)
Nick Foles (+)

2011
Andy Dalton (+)
Colin Kaepernick (+)
Ryan Mallet (-) Since they just drafted Garoppolo, I assume he's on his way out.

2010
Jimmy Clausen (-)
Colt McCoy (-)

2009
Pat White (-)

2008
Brian Brohm (-)
Chad Henne (-)
Kevin O'Connell (-)

2007
Kevin Kolb (-)
John Beck (-)
Drew Stanton (-)
Trent Edwards (-)

2006
Kellen Clemens (-)
Tarvaris Jackson (-)
Charlie Whitehurst (-)
Brodie Croyle (-)

2005
Charlie Frye (-)
Andrew Walter (-)
David Greene (-)

2004
Matt Schaub (+) Barely a plus. Had a few really good years

2003
Dave Ragone (-)
Chris Simms (-)

2002
Josh McCown (-)

That's 5 guys I would consider a good pick. 5 out of 27. 18.5%. So odds are, and it saddens me to say, Geno will not get better as we all hope. Compared to first round percentage (46%) picking a QB later on is a big risk. This year, clearly wasn't the year to get a QB since so many bad teams needed one. Next year, teams that may need a 1st round QB include the Rams, Texans, Raiders, Buccaneers, Vikings.... and I'll just stop there. It doesn't look like next year is the year to grab a QB unless we crumble this year. I would expect another year of Geno even if he's not playing well simply because of draft value. There are almost no free agent QBs next summer that will be helpful, or are definitely getting resigned.

I hope Geno figures this game out.

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