NOTE: Proceed to the bottom for the Jets second and third round picks.
1. Texans: Johnny Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
I've been saying since last year that Jonathan P. Football will be the #1 Overall Pick when he comes out, and if he isn't, the Houston Texans will rue the day they passed on this phenom. I watched at least half of his college games and this is a special player.
2. Rams: Sammy Watkins, WR, Clemson
Watkins put on a show verses Ohio State in the Orange Bowl to stamp his ticket as a legit TOP 5 talent. The Rams finally get Bradford an elite #1 Wide Receiver.
3. Jaguars: Blake Bortles, QB, UCF
Teddy will not be happy about this, but his disappointment will be short lived.
4. Browns: Teddy Bridgewater, QB, Louisville
First of all, there is no shame in being the #4 Overall Pick. That said, I wouldn't be surprised if Teddy goes #3, but I suspect Jacksonville will opt for the bigger and more mobile of the two (Bortles).
5. Raiders: Jadeveon Clowney, DE, South Carolina
If Clowney goes higher the Raiders will take Matthews or one of the QB's, whichever guy falls to them here, but if the projected TOP 4 is correct, then I expect the Raiders to snatch up Clowney at warp speed.
6. Falcons: Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
Matthews might be the safest pick in the draft. He has all of the physical attributes and all of the tools to be an elite LT at the next level, and he was schooled by his HOF father (Bruce Matthews) since birth.
7. Bucs: Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
Some people like Barr more than Clowney, he's that good and he fills a huge need for the Bucs.
8. Vikings: Khalil Mack, OLB, Buffalo
Mack is the last of the elite prospects in my view, a potential impact player off the edge, and I don't think it would be wise to pass on that for Derek Carr. For one of the TOP 3 QB's, yes, but not for Derek Carr.
9. Bills: Greg Robinson, OT, Auburn
The Bills are probably hoping for Watkins or one of the elite OLB prospects here, but with all of them going off the board in this mock, I would take the potential franchise LT and move Cordy Glenn to RT.
10. Lions: Mike Evans, WR, Texas A&M
Evans will be a terrific #2 option who sees a ton of single coverage opposite Megatron.
11. Titans: Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
12. Giants: Eric Ebron, TE, North Carolina
Its a copy-cat league when something works and the TE mismatches like Gronk, Jimmy Graham and Julius Thomas are working, to say the least. Ebron creates a similar mismatch, and so does Amaro.
13. Rams: C.J. Mosley, ILB/OLB, Alabama
The Rams are in a division with Colin Kaepernick and Russell Wilson, two of the most lethal dual threat QB's in the league. They need 4-3 linebackers who can run and hit, who can spy these QB's and make them one dimensional pocket-passers, and Mosley does that as well as any linebacker in the country.
14. Bears: Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State
Gilbert is bigger and faster than Dennard, a more accomplished ballhawk too, and if thats not enough, he is also a 'Great' Return-Man, having amassed an amazing 11 K.O. Returns for touchdowns in college.
15. Steelers: Louis Nix, DT, Notre Dame
Casey Hampton is 36 years old and a free agent. Its time to get younger at the position and Nix has everything you look for in a nose tackle.
16. Ravens: Marqise Lee, WR, Southern California
Poor QB play and some nagging injuries hurt his numbers this year, but this kid is a special talent who may have been a TOP 10 Pick last year.
17. Cowboys: RaShede Hageman, DT, Minnesota
The Cowboys defense was "historically bad" this year and it all starts up front. They need to get bigger, stronger, younger and meaner at D-Tackle and Hageman is a good place to start.
18. Jets: Jace Amaro, TE, Texas Tech
The Jets need skill position players on offense in the worst way. I'll be shocked if they don't take the best WR or TE on the board at 18, and the way it fell here, I believe that guy is Amaro who posted video game numbers this year (100+ Rec. for 1300+ Yards).
19. Dolphins: Antonio Richardson, OT, Tennessee
O-line is a virtual must following the Martin/Incognito debacle.
20. Cardinals: Derek Carr, QB, Fresno State
Carson Palmer will be 35 in March, he is not the long-term answer, but he can start for another year which would allow Arizona to groom Carr and bring him along slowly, the right way, then hopefully make a seamless transition from one QB to the other in 2015, the way it used to be done.
21. Packers: Kelvin Benjamin, WR, Florida State
22. Eagles: Brandin Cooks, WR, Oregon State
I know this pick seems like a reach, but Cooks will go wild in Chip Kelly's system. Sometimes the value a player holds depends on the scheme. This years Biletnikoff winner was ridiculously productive in a similar scheme at OSU, posting video game numbers, and he can do big things in Philly.
23. Chiefs: Allen Robinson, WR, Penn State
After Bowe KC's WR core is a collection of journeymen and nobodies.
24. Bengals: Kony Ealy, DE, Missouri
Michael Johnson is a FA and he's been a bit of a disappointment. Other than 2012 when he had 11.5 Sacks, he has not exceeded 6 in his four other seasons and three times he has settled for 3.5 or less. Even if they decide to bring Johnson back, Ealy would be an upgrade and MJ can come off the bench.
25. Chargers: Darqueze Dennard, CB, Michigan State
DD is a superb cover-corner, the only question that needs to be answered at the combines or his pro day is speed. His 40-Time will be huge.
26. Browns: HaHa Clinton-Dix, FS, Alabama
Dix would be good value here and could form a lethal S duo with TJ Ward, and a terrific secondary overall when you throw in Joe Haden.
27. Saints: Scott Crichton, DE/OLB, Oregon State
College DE who projects well to 3-4 OLB at the next level. Crichton had a dominant Junior campaign and he's a high character guy with a tremendous motor, a nasty disposition on gameday and a nice combination of burst and strength off the edge.
28. Panthers: Timmy Jernigan, DT, Florida State
Jernigan was a monster verses Auburn and I'm sure the scouts took notice. Forget the stats, watch the tape and key on Jernigan, he was a beast.
29. Patriots: Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, Washington
One year ago they were the envy of the league with Gronk & Hernandez. Most teams would have killed for just one of those guys. Now Hernandez is facing a life bit and Gronk is a medical disaster.
30. 49ers: Jason Verrett, CB, TCU
Pound for Pound he's the best cover-corner in the draft, unfortunately he's only listed at 5' 10" and 176 Pounds. Thats going to hurt his stock, but this kid pretty much shutdown every WR he faced this year, and he faced some good ones, like Odell Beckham who had one catch against him. Verrett is a ballhawk too.
31. Broncos: Stephon Tuitt, DE, Notre Dame
Shuan Phillips will be 33 and he's undersized at DE. He should be more of a situational pass rusher.
32. Seahawks: Cyril Richardson, OG, Baylor
Massive Road-Grader who mauls people at the LOS and fills a big need on Seattle's O-line. I thought about Zack Martin here, but Richardson is bigger and more dominant in my view.
RD 2 - 49. New York Jets: Marcus Smith, OLB, Louisville
Marcus had a monster year in 2013 with 14.5 Sacks, 18.5 TFL's and he was named defensive player of the year in his conference. He was the definition of an impact player off the edge and he has the size (6' 3"/252), burst and athleticism to be that kind of player in the NFL. He will have to make the switch from college DE to 3-4 OLB.
RD 3 - 69. New York Jets: Paul Richardson, WR, Colorado
RD 3 - 80. New York Jets: Donte Moncrief, WR, Ole Miss