FanPost

Confirmation Bias "HE JUST WINS" (Mark Sanchez)

Confirmation Bias "HE JUST WINS"

Mark-sanchez-sfspan_medium

via graphics8.nytimes.com

This was a comment from The Case For Mark Sanchez At QB. And yes I left it Green :)

Confirmation Bias - Confirmation bias (also called confirmatory bias or myside bias) is a tendency of people to favor information that confirms their beliefs or hypotheses.[Note 1][1] People display this bias when they gather or remember information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way. The effect is stronger for emotionally charged issues and for deeply entrenched beliefs. For example, in reading about gun control, people usually prefer sources that affirm their existing attitudes. They also tend to interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing position. Biased search, interpretation and memory have been invoked to explain attitude polarization (when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence), belief perseverance (when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false), the irrational primacy effect (a greater reliance on information encountered early in a series) and illusory correlation (when people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations).

This is a study of the term fans toss around called "HE JUST WINS!!!"

Jets-chargers_medium

via assets.nydailynews.com

Fans tend to use this logic a lot and disregard the moving parts that make a system. And in NO OTHER place in the world but sports and politics does this happen. When people ignore the parts in a system that make up the system. It is pure "look at that engine go" instead of "lets make this engine run better by replacing the less optimum parts"

NFL teams that does this remain losers for decades…

I wrote a fan post a while ago about >> confirmation bias when it comes to this in regards to Cam Newton and it applies to Sanchez as well….. >> HERE

Football is a interesting sport to me. I find it very interesting to not only follow the sport but also to break it down into all of its moving parts. I don’t tend to get caught up in the emotional side from a fan stand point. So I rarely have rose colored glasses on when I try to ascertain the "why?"
My issue today isn’t the sport its self. But instead the fans and the media and the football decision makers. There is a flaw in some of these individuals logic circuits that allows some to believe that football is fairly close to magic. Where if you put a certain player in the game regardless of circumstances that player will lead to a certain specific set of results. HE JUST WINS!!!!
My issue with the "HE JUST WINS!!!" crowd is. I believe that this is a expression of >>> "i have no clue how that happened or why, but because it did happen the end results are all the proof I need" …. and this may describe your beliefs when it comes too sports or football or life. However, what I believe is the most relevant that gets overlooked is >>>> circumstances. Too some circumstances just sounds like an excuse. A bunch of excuses that have too many moving parts and therefore can’t be explained or understood clearly "so lets just stick with HE JUST WINS"…. This is where I honestly feel like the "HE JUST WINS" crowd sat next to the "THE EARTH IS FLAT" crowd in class. Once we start to talking about things in detail and break down the "WHY?" the "HE JUST WINS CROWD" gets annoyed. Then it becomes to complicated. Nope Nope NOPE lets go back to "HE JUST WINS!!!" because that is easier to understand.

So as I read how Jets Fans fondly remember Sanchez’s playoff performances…. I see it differently.

I see a defense in 2009 that in playoff games gave up 14 points a piece with Sanchez…..

12 of 15 for 182 yards and 1 Touchdown vs the Bengals

12 of 23 for 100 yards 1 touchdown and 1 pick vs the Chargers

It was the same theme in 2010……

with a 18 of 31 for 189 yards 0 touchdowns and 1 interceptions vs the Colts. Again holding the score low winning 17 to 16

THIS is his best game in the playoffs where he was 16 of 25 for 194 yards and 3 touchdowns and no picks

So as I really look at HIS performance in the playoffs as more "meh" than "Great" it was more of a "just don’t screw this up" game plan.

050213sanchez_dngnk_medium

via media.northjersey.com

I think that if you believe you can win with a QB that really isn’t going to make the rest of the team better… .that isn’t dynamic then Sanchez is a ok choice. But…. if teams start to score points and the JETS have to rely on him to respond too scores then his turnovers will soar……again.

What some fans can’t see past their fandum and see how limited he has been…. it is disregarding logical thinking for HOPE….. At no point has Sanchez displayed the ability to respond to scores… he has relied on the scoreboard and not turning the ball over…. which is a good tactic….until you run into the better quarterbacks in the NFL that convert 3rd and longs and lead multiple scoring drives even if you ARE playing good defense (which defines why the teams at the top of the draft need quarterbacks more often than not)

It is easier for some fans too say "HE JUST WINS". But that doesn’t work in any other field or job on the planet. Doctors can’t do that >>"hey you may have cancer but are you alive now?… ok so then you are fine"… You can’t do that as a Auto Repair Tech >>> "I know your car makes loud noises and you see smoke. But does it run?….. ok then"………….. Why is it that in sports especially with quarterbacks even if they play poorly we associate the success of the team with them even if they are the faulty part that the system running in spite of?……… lets just not change our oil guys because hey,"THE CAR STILL WORKS".

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