FanPost

Geno About as Bad as the 2012 Jet QBs in Taking Sacks?




No, nothing really scientific about this, but I thought I would take a look at the number of sacks that Pro Football Focus is blaming Geno for. In recent debates about how horrible our Offensive line is talk wavers between how bad it is (it is 17th in the league in PBE, in a down year for the league in general), and how much Geno is to blame "holding the ball", etc. There is a way to look at PFF stats and figure out how much they think a sack is the fault of an Offensive Lineman or a Running back. And if you subtract these from the sack total - unless I'm missing something - it stands to reason you come up with those that are blamed on the QB (unless there is such a thing as a coverage sack which is nobody's fault, so to speak). So in crunching the numbers for this year and last year this is what I came up with:

Genossacks_zpsed5bb009_medium

Under 2012 are the attributed totals with the QB's getting the remainder credit after OL and RB blame is taken away. Under 2013 we have the numbers thus far, and under projected is the number each is on pace for. There is a Geno line because Geno has been sacked 34 times, not 35 - because Geno has not played every snap these are rough projection figures.

None of this is cheery news because last year Mark Sanchez was pretty much horrible, and things were even more distorted by that enormous concussion San Diego sack game, that being said we are just about where we were last year when QB accounted for 46% of the blame for sacks. This year it is 48%.

As always, Lord knows if the PFF grader knows what they are doing when they make these attributions, it is just fun with numbers for us, in a moment of number trust. Also is there a bit of a silver lining? Well, maybe a very thin line. The feeling has been that Geno is just off-the-charts bad in causing sacks, when in fact he is in line with last year's Jet numbers, not unspeakable for a rookie under pressure with zero targets. And he has been doing this with a pretty poor LG in terms of protection: at first Ducasse, now Winters. Also close watchers have noted that while Geno was producing more sacks earlier in the year, now it appears that things have changed and that the sacks are coming more frequently from the line. If this is so his attributed sack percentage numbers should get better by the year's end when I'll look again.

In any case, just sharing something I looked up. It is what it is.

As usual these are hand drawn numbers and their could be errors. If you see something let me know and I'll correct it.

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