Well, two weeks of free agency have passed and we've seen some franchises take a huge step forward (Buffalo, Denver), while others are taking huge steps back (New Orleans, Miami).
I projected in late February that the team had only a 7 - 9 record, but so much has changed since then that I felt it was necessary to make a few changes (marked as a change from Win/Loss to the opposite with an asterisk).
This post in late March reflects what the win-loss record for the Jets would be if the season were to start right now (with the currently rosters as they are, and remaining second/third tier free agents signed).
Mario Williams makes the Bills that much harder to have a successful running game against. And without a running game, passing will be no picnic. This one might be close, but the way the Jets roster is set up now, I don't think they can beat the Bills at all.
Despite winning 2 of the last 3 home games against the Patriots, the current Jets are not as good as the teams that won those 2 games - and even those were close for much of the game.
You have to admit, even if this offense isn't capable of scoring 50 points a game, it's still got more firepower than the Dolphins. Not to take anything away from Moore or Garrard, both of whom are very talented, but they already lost the only player who ever had a completely dominant game against Revis. Sanchez or Tebow at QB of this team should be manageable.
They have one of the best receiving corps in the AFC, one of the best RB tandems, and a top tier defense. This team is far more talented than the ones the Jets beat in '09 and '10 - and even those were close.
The Chargers will in all likelihood bounce back for real this time. There's no guarantee that they will blow out the Jets or self-destruct either, but the Chargers look better healthy than the Jets do.
As much as I believe Larry Fitzgerald could have a big game against Revis, Arizona is anemic in just about every other area of football.
Unless Andrew Luck takes command of the aging team as well as Peyton Manning did immediately, it shouldn't be too hard to keep their offense on ice. How the offense plays against the fast Colts D will decide the outcome of the game.
This game will come down to which team plays better defense. The 49ers have a better running game and a more consistent pass rush - it will be low scoring, but the 49ers are slightly better than the Jets in almost every major aspect of the game. Sadly, even Alex Smith on an average day could keep the Jets defense honest.
Despite winning 3 straight against them on the road, a healthy Bills team will be nearly impossible to beat this year with the roster as it is.
The Patriots play on another plane of existence when they're at home. Self-inflicted wounds are the only chance the Jets have. Unlikely.
We've lost 4 of the last 6 games to the Dolphins under Rex Ryan, even when the Dolphins are missing some of their most talented players and that should not be so different this year. No more Marshall really only means that someone else will have likely have big games.
It's hard to really tell which Steelers are going to show up to play - the old and aging ones with RB depth problems or the ones that kicked the Jets to the curb in 2010. I say no Mendenhall equals no problems, assuming his injury actually keeps him out of the 2012 season.
Barring a miraculous turnaround, this should be a blowout. Losing Greg Williams indefinitely will certainly give the offense a chance to play "catch me if you can." Hopefully a shutout against our good friend Schotty would certainly make Jets fans feel better about having him gone.
Qwest field is dangerous for a team as historically undisciplined as the Jets. This game will be similar to the Raiders game - an opponent with an above average, power running back with a weak QB, underachieving WRs, but a very serviceable defense. In that stadium it will probably equate to a loss.
More likely it will be a repeat of last year than anything else. Unless the Jaguars receiving corps gets significantly better between now and the game, this should be an easy win. MJD will probably have about 100 yards from scrimmage.
Chris Johnson is manageable if we keep the Titans QB(s) on ice. It might be a close game but ultimately the Titans defense might open some holes for the Jets offense.
8 - 8
Wow. I surprised myself with a record as good as this. As I said before, talent-wise I truly feel like this roster is only a 7-9 team. But then again, if 8 or more of the games we play are against teams with even weaker rosters and staffs than us, we can certainly pull a rabbit out of the hat this season.
Sidenote: considering my projected Win-Loss record at home, this is probably not a good year to buy season tickets.