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Potential Jets: Anthony Spencer

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Anthony Spencer is a 28 year old free agent to be. He has spent his entire five year career as an outside linebacker with the Dallas Cowboys. For the last three years, he has started across from DeMarcus Ware. Will he get a look from the Jets?

For information about Spencer, let us go straight to the source, SB Nation's Cowboys site, Blogging the Boys.

Spencer is terrific against the run and can also cover but OLBs are measured on disruptive and Spencer has never quite put up the numbers many were hoping for.

The word about his play against the run and in coverage sounds good. His production as a pass rusher looks pedestrian on the surface. He has never registered more than 6 sacks in a season.

I would like to big a bit deeper, though. Sacks only tell part of the story. There are other measures of success as a pass rusher. Hurrying and hitting the quarterback also have big impacts. They forced rushed, inaccurate passes, make the passer uncomfortable, and give receivers less time to get open. Late in Eric Mangini's tenure, the Jets had decent sack numbers, but their pass rush was anemic because they generated no pressure on plays where they did not get a sack.

Looking at Pro Football Focus' numbers on Spencer's sacks, hits, and pressures suggests he is an extremely productive pass rusher. Since he became a starter in 2009, he disrupted the quarterback on 11.7% of plays he was a pass rusher. That is really good. By comparison, Jason Pierre-Paul of the Giants is doing so at a 9.5% clip in this monster year he is having.

Does this make Spencer an elite pass rusher? Probably not. There is certainly a mitigating factor. Playing across from Ware probably helps him a lot. Other teams are usually sending every extra blocker they have at Ware and away from Spencer. Spencer also has lined up against right tackles a lot, who tend to be less nimble or productive as pass protectors. He also has a really good pass rushing nose tackle in Jay Ratliff drawing blockers up the middle. Spencer is a guy who gets a lot of favorable matchups.

I think Spencer is a very well rounded linebacker. He is probably a better pass rusher than his sack stats would suggest and not quite as good as the deeper numebers would indicate. He is still likely better at getting to the quarterback than anybody the Jets have. This series is not meant to talk about money.

It is unclear what Spencer is going to command. Perhaps in a market that could have Robert Mathis and Mario Williams as premier pass rushers, Spencer will come at a more reasonable rate. Perhaps he will still demand Calvin Pace money. For almost every player, a certain price makes sense and one does not. I do like him as a player, though, so I think the Jets should take a look at him at the right price.

Poll
Should the Jets have interest in Anthony Spencer to start at outside linebacker?
Yes
501 votes
No
237 votes

738 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 15 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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oh yeah

pretty good pass rusher with good speed,i would definetly look at him,hes better than anyone on their roster right now.price is right scoop him up.

by michael224a on Feb 1, 2012 2:11 PM EST reply actions  

B.Thomas Redoux

No thanks. Not good enough, too old, and most likely, too expensive. Even if the Jets wanted him, they probably couldn’t afford him. The answer at OLB isn’t to get another older player whose strength is playing the run, although he would be better in coverage. The Jets need speed and youth in an excellent pass rusher. The best way to address the pass rush is in the draft, NOT FA imo.

S, RT and QB are the best areas to be addressed in FA.

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been 200 years." Alexander Tyler

by joeklecko on Feb 1, 2012 2:14 PM EST reply actions  

Coverage is very important...

and BT sucked in coverage (as does all our LBs) so it doesn’t sound like a redoux. I haven’t seen enough of Spencer in the NFL, to fully comment though.

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by Judgegavel on Feb 1, 2012 5:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Rex Said

that he doesn’t care if his OLBs can cover. He wants the pass rush. Safeties can cover the RBs and TEs better anyway.

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been 200 years." Alexander Tyler

by joeklecko on Feb 2, 2012 3:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Ask Rob Ryan

The one advantage we have in perusing him is that we can get inside info from a family source and he has some experience in a Ryan style system. I know saying “at the right price” is kind of a cop out, but its very true in this case. Even if we draft an OLB (or double dip like i hope) we can still replace Thomas with him and take some pressure of the rookies and let the develop. Yes, we would then end up with alot of DE/OLB type players but when is that ever a bad thing. Giants have a very strong rotation and its the strength of there team.

by GreenFlight on Feb 1, 2012 2:19 PM EST reply actions  

right

we got brodney pool the same way, rob said we should try him out. if rob likes him, we probably will pursue him at least

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by rexthejet on Feb 1, 2012 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Sabotage

If he’s the one who recommended Brodney Pool to Rex, then I think he’s trying to sabotage Rex’s HC career. LOL A BIG NO to Spencer.

A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largesse from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for the candidates promising the most benefits from the public treasury with the result that a democracy always collapses over loose fiscal policy followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been 200 years." Alexander Tyler

by joeklecko on Feb 1, 2012 4:46 PM EST up reply actions  

why not?

as long as the price is right.

by RichTodd on Feb 1, 2012 2:30 PM EST reply actions  

Spencer is an average player.

He looks better than average because Ware draws all of the attention from the offense. Anybody could put up solid stats playing opposite of Ware. Just look at Eric Walden of the Packers. He sucks, but he looks alright because he gets a one on one matchup every play they’re blitzing or sending more than four.

by JetKing55 on Feb 1, 2012 2:51 PM EST reply actions  

Depends on the type of player you're looking for.

Spencer is good because he has an all-around game and is a great complimentary OLB. He should also come without a major contract so the Jets won’t have to spend much. If you think he’ll be the team’s primary pass rusher, you’re probably looking at him for the wrong reasons. If the Jets think they can use him as a complimentary OLB and hope Pace steps up or they find someone that can, then Spencer is the perfect fit for NYJ.

Overall though, I think it may be better for the Jets to look to the draft for an OLB. Even if they don’t land someone in the first, they’ll still have options in the 2nd and 3rd rounds with players like Bruce Irvin. They may not be where Spencer is now, but they’re cheaper with more upside. If the Jets feel that Pace is in his final days as a Jet, then it’d make sense to make both moves.

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by Finhead83 on Feb 1, 2012 3:03 PM EST reply actions  

Not another average pass rusher

Dont we have Calvin Pace who “sets the edge on run plays”, dont we have Brian Thomas who plays the run better than anyone?
Enough with the average pass rushers …put our interest in obtaining an elite pass rusher for pete sake!
Our franchise doesnt have a lot of tradition but the one area the Jets franchise have tradition in is,.. PASS RUSHERS !… we actually owned a few records in this category thats when I became a Jets fan bring back the NY sackexchange…
well maybe one day we can get a rush with our front four at least ,we did pioneer this.

The Hardest thing for some men to do is .... Believe what they see!

by Benz Zito on Feb 1, 2012 3:03 PM EST reply actions  

How good is he in coverage...

this is another very important need that most over look, all our LBs suck in coverage even Harris, a well rounded OLB that can cover (something I felt both Pace and BT suck/ed at) is probably as big a need as one that is a great pass rusher. If Spencer is good in coverage I’d certainly want him if the price is right.

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by Judgegavel on Feb 1, 2012 5:16 PM EST reply actions  

I think Spencer is a good player but we need a better pass rusher than Spencer

We have enough edge setters, we need an edge rusher and sinking money on a guy like Spencer (probably more money than Spencer is worth) is throwing money at a non-problem solver. Dude was an absolute monster in the last half of 2009 but disappeared from there.

by J-Nasty on Feb 1, 2012 5:45 PM EST reply actions  

Not as a designated pass rusher

If we draft one though I think it’s at least worth looking at him.

by darshv3 on Feb 1, 2012 6:11 PM EST reply actions  

please take him

"With the 14th pick in the 2012 NFL Draft.........The Dallas Cowboys select..............Melvin Ingram DE South Carolina"

My card has been sent in

by Archie Barberio on Feb 3, 2012 5:24 PM EST reply actions  

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