Rating the QB Prospects in the Draft
This is just my take but I follow college football a ton and have seen all these quarterbacks play and not just highlights on ESPN. All comments and dialogue are much appreciated.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->1. <!--[endif]-->Geno Smith – I wouldn’t go near him and have watched him for years being that I’m a Rutgers fan and alum. His numbers are extremely inflated because of the offense he is in. He gets big yardage because Austin and Bailey are so dynamic they make screen passes turn into big yardage. His decision making is suspect and he really struggles with accuracy in traffic. Lucky for him due to the system and his team’s talented weapons most of the time his receivers were wide open. On top of that, he has a slower release with a hitch in his delivery that in the nfl defensive backs will be able to take advantage of. Also I think there may be trouble with his arm strength, as it is impressive for college it just will not be in the NFL. At a high point he could develop into an Alex Smith type QB (remember Alex Smith put up huge numbers at Utah) but most likely you are looking at Akili Smith 2.0. I wouldn’t draft him with the 9th pick in the first or second round even though he probably will be gone before the 9th pick in the first.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->2. <!--[endif]-->Tyler Wilson – Wilson I think will be better than Smith as a pro. Mentally I think he is all there. The kid can fight and proved it this season with Arkansas. After losing Petrino the Razorbacks looked like they were done for but Wilson played them back into respectability. He did this despite getting anything from a supposed star running back and losing two receivers to the NFL the prior year. I question his arm strength at the next level but do think he could be solid as he gets the ball out quickly and releases it with ease. With him at a high point you can look to a Kurt Warner type player but most likely you will be getting an Andy Dalton. I wouldn’t draft him with the 9th pick in the first round and he won’t be there in the second. Maybe dropping back in the draft could be a possibility and mid to late 1st could be an option.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->3. <!--[endif]-->Matt Barkley – This player is overrated. I know they say USC QB’s don’t cut it in the NFL but I don’t like saying certain people from certain schools just don’t transition. Every player is an individual and has different attributes. The only thing I like about Barkley is he is intense. That being said he can have all the intensity he wants but his physical skills aren’t there. He has major accuracy issues that continuously show up and prove costly. His team was stacked with offense weapons and he did not capitalize on that. For me he is almost undraftable. At a high point you are looking at a Chad Henne, but most likely you are getting a Kyle Boller. I would not draft him until the 5th round.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->4. <!--[endif]-->Ryan Nassib – This is another QB I have seen many times. He is very inconsistent as well, but the more I see him the more I like him. On the positive side he throws a nice ball and usually makes decent decisions. He is impressive that he does believe in his arm and isn’t afraid to try to fit it into tight spots, but at the same time his is not the most accurate and has a habit of trying to put too much on it. Also, doesn’t get enough depth in his drops leading to lots of tipped passes. At a high point you are looking a lesser version of Drew Brees but most likely you are getting a Kellen Clemens. If he fell to the 3rd round then maybe but he will need a ton of development.
<!--[if !supportLists]-->5. <!--[endif]-->Mike Glennon – I like his size and feel that he can still grow into his frame. His arm strength is there and it’s at an nfl caliber. He is not really going to scramble but moves well in the pocket. You can watch him go from read to read and doesn’t really lock on his target until he releases. Sometimes he is throwing to his 3rd or 4th progression. He has the most upside of any QB in the draft and I would rate him number 1. His accuracy seems to be there as well. NC State drops a ton of passes on him and he still just keeps plugging. The only thing on the negative side for him is he has a huge hitch in his delivery sometimes, but makes it up with a big time arm. At a high point you are looking at a Drew Bledsoe and at a low point you are looking at a Kerry Collins. I would pick him at 9 if that is the direction you want to go
<!--[if !supportLists]-->6. <!--[endif]-->Logan Thomas – Very inconsistent but has the possibly the biggest arm in the draft. His size is a huge advantage as well. His accuracy is awful and might be so bad to the point you can’t fix or even make passable. To me he is a very late pick possibly sixth or seventh round in hopes that he can somehow put it all together because he is so physically impressive. At a high point you are looking at a Josh Freeman and at a low point you are looking at Matt Jones who didn’t even play QB in the league
<!--[if !supportLists]-->7. <!--[endif]-->EJ Manuel – another physically impressive athlete. He has great leadership and is always trying to win. He doesn’t put his head down after a miserable play which is something you want to see, but in no way does he posses the accuracy needed to play at the next level. He locks on to on receiver most every time. I would put him more of a very late round pick and hopes that you can develop him. At a high point you could hope for a Roethliesberger type player but most likely you are getting a Tavares Jackson
<!--[if !supportLists]-->8. <!--[endif]-->Landry Jones – I don’t feel there is much to like and not much of an upside to Landry Jones. On a positive side, he always keeps his eyes downfield and is fairly decent at making progressions. On the negative side, he is a system QB with minus arm strength. He may make a decent back up one day in the league but as a starter he’d be asked to do too much with too little physical tools. At a high point you are looking at a Ryan Fitzpatrick but most likely getting a Brady Quinn
<!--[if !supportLists]-->9. <!--[endif]-->Zac Dysert – He has some solid upside. He has an above average arm with above average size combined with above average accuracy. He comes from a smaller school so hasn’t played against above average competition. Very solid release with more athletic ability than you see at first. If he were to last to the 3rd round he would be a very smart pick up. At a high point you are looking at a Jim Harbaugh type player maybe more. At a low point you are looking at Jim Miller type player
<!--[if !supportLists]-->10. <!--[endif]-->Tyler Bray – His size is about all I see about him. His mechanics, accuracy, and decision making are fairly terrible. He does have a big arm but is a complete project. I wouldn’t draft him at all because there is just too much to fix or develop and he has always underachieved. At a high point with him you are looking at a fairly terrible Joe Flacco what you are most likely getting is a Dan McGwire
These are just my observations, but I would like to say that if Teddy Bridgewater was eligible this year I would have him number 1. His arm strength, accuracy, and leadership are all top notch. In fact, his accuracy is nearly unbelievable. So if there is there is a chance to fix other gaping holes on the Jets this year, it would be acceptable because there should be some talent next year at this position and by having a more complete team they me be able to put a young QB in a position to succeed fairly quick