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Post-Draft: Feeling Better?


I had a lot of worries going into the draft.  I had a lot of worries coming out of the draft.  I still have some worries about Free Agency, but hey, that's just what I do.  However, I am feeling much better about this draft with some time to consider its implications.  This draft is really about the team in 2012.

More ramblings after the jump.

Star-divide

 

First, I have to remind myself that Rex does not appear to like starting or even playing rookies.  Sure, Sanchez is a notable exception.  Kyle Wilson was kind of forced to start as Revis was injured.  But Wilson was quickly put on the bench soon after Revis returned. Rex seems to prefer, well, old veterans, such as LDT, Jason Taylor, Trevor Pryce, T-Rich, Etc.  So these draft picks are really for 2012.  Perhaps Wilkerson and Ellis join a line rotation.  Perhaps Kerley returns some kicks or punts.  Perhaps S McKnight catches a few passes in 4 WR spreads.  Powell may get some mop up runs.  McEloy was drafted just to be a project. But all in all, I don't think they really are for this year.

While I was a little surprised that the Jets didn't pick up any O Line help in this draft, I think that speaks to Ducasse starting at RT this year.  Two years ago, Slauson was a nobody 6th round pick.  With one year as the understudy, he became a starter, and a pretty good one at that, last year.  I expect the same from Ducasse this year.  Some may point to Ducasse not starting in the playoffs as a sign that Ducasse had failed, but that very well could be a case of protecting a rookie's confidence.  Remember also that Slauson had some miscues in his first starts, but they were not nearly as noticeable as if they would have occurred in a playoff game.

Similarly, I would not be surprised if Kyle Wilson starts this year.  He struggled as any rookie might last year.  It was highlighted  of course by getting picked on in the same backfield as Revis and Cromartie.  But with a year under his belt, and some playoff experience, I would not be surprised to see him enter the starting line up and give a decent year.  This defense was fine with Lito Sheppard, so I don't think Wilson would become any huge problem.

I also expect that T-Rich will not be back and John Connor will be named the starter.  The FB position is not a position of great importance on most teams.  Its a little more important for the Jets, but still, the FB is only going to play on less than half of the offensive plays.  Connor was in the mix in a number of games last year and I think will be ready to go this year.

Joe McKnight was of course put under tremendous scrutiny during HardKnocks.  But he consitently got better and earned praise on a number of occasions for his work on the practice squad, apparently even playing CB in practice.  Rex has said that McKnight will see more time this year.  For a fourth round pick, if that means kick returns and some situational running or passes from the backfield, that would be a fine value.

So with this current draft class, if we were to see both Wilkerson and K Ellis starting in 2012, if McElroy is the 3rd QB this year and 2nd in 2012, if Powell as a fourth round pick this year, becomes Greene's change of pace back in 2012 and if Kerley or McKnight make the slot in 2012... then this was a good draft.

As far as OLB and FS, I as well as many others was surprised that none were drafted.  Does this mean Tanny and Rex were all along happy with what they had?  Well, this group was good enough for the 3rd ranked defense last year.  But I think they would have liked to address the area.  It just means that no impact players were available at the time the Jets picked.  Look for these positions as well as other potential positions to be addressed during free agency.  Remember also, that the list of Free Agents will increase as teams make their camp cuts so some interesting players may just fall in our lap.

That is all.  /rant

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Like your points

I think that Wilson also struggled due to the fact that he was put defending the slot. Never played that in college. I think if he was the #2 opposite Revis he would do a lot better

by Buddy James on May 2, 2011 12:11 AM EDT reply actions  

not so sure that rex doesnt favor playing rookies

rex has had only 7 prior rookies to deal with

sanchez – started throughout
greene – played big role even on team that had thomas jones
slauson – was a 6th rounder and was also blocked by faneca
wilson – was putrid, otherwise i’m sure he’d have played ahead of coleman
ducasse – wasnt ready. if he was he wouldve played over slauson
mcknight – puked his way into not playing much
terminator – had t-rich ahead (only w/ him can you really make your case)

bottom line: if the rookie is ready and gives the team the best chance at winning, they’ll play. if not, someone else will play.

i agree though about your points on next yr. a draft cannot be judged on one yr alone

metsjetsknicksrangers.............can it get any worse?

by dabu7 on May 2, 2011 1:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Agree with your points as well

But, I would add that there is a huge impact from a year of “getting ready”. And a team that has made the AFC champ game two years in a row, does not need to rush rookies in to starting jobs. So as Rex has said, “I’d take the same group of players and go at it again.” I like our team and I think these drafts are not to replace but to bolster.

So Let It Be Written, So Let it Be Done.

by GreenBeer on May 2, 2011 4:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

One other point of yours

Greene, Slauson, Wilson, Ducasse, McKnight, Connor… all rookies that did not unseat their veterans for whatever reason. Brick, Mangold, Lowery, Leon Washington, David Harris, Dustin Keller are all pre-Rex rookies that unseated veterans in year one. Greene could be a post-Rex rookie that did the same but you could also say it was injury to Jones, as Tomlinson the started in 2010.

So Let It Be Written, So Let it Be Done.

by GreenBeer on May 2, 2011 5:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Man I think it basically just comes down to one thing:

The better player plays. Last year it was pretty clear that the veterans were better at the start of the season, and then as the rookies got acclimated to the pro game they got more involved. That’s all there is to it, and that’s all that there should be to it.

by Exystence on May 2, 2011 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

yup

as i said above

bottom line: if the rookie is ready and gives the team the best chance at winning, they’ll play. if not, someone else will play.

metsjetsknicksrangers.............can it get any worse?

by dabu7 on May 2, 2011 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Pre Rex we were never an AFC Championship Game team….means we have fewer holes and therefore better players. So less of a reason to rush these guys into playing.

If Wilson or Vlad or Connor were drafted by Carolina or Buffalo last year – they would have been starters. On the Jets – they had veteran guys entrenched and there was no need to rush a rookie out there for sake of playing a rookie. Overall it’s a great problem to have, shows the depth and strength of our team and means we will continue to replenish our roster as guys leave which is #1 recipe for sustained success.

by Ryan243 on May 2, 2011 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

excellent point

metsjetsknicksrangers.............can it get any worse?

by dabu7 on May 2, 2011 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hopefully this year Kyle Wilson shows he can do the job. Drew Coleman showed massive improvement last year, but I think he’s reached his peak. I don’t think Ducasse will unseat Wayne Hunter (assuming he comes back, Rex seems to love him so I’m sure they’ll try their hardest to re-sign him) at the beginning of the year but might become the starter after the first few weeks if he can prove himself. I anticipate Wilkerson to be a starter right away and Ellis will probably start out as 3rd down guy before we see more Pouha-Ellis-Wilk later in the year. If Shaun Ellis returns we’ll probably even see a lot of Wilk-Pouha-Ellis-Ellis lines.

by Exystence on May 2, 2011 10:33 AM EDT reply actions  

Don’t sleep on DeVito. He might not be flashy but he played very very well for us last year and I bet he builds on that success this year.

by Ryan243 on May 2, 2011 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed while he can't really rush the passer

Mike is excellent against the run. One of the best.

Muhammad Wilkerson + Kenrick Ellis=
-Greatest two picks of all time
-Sleepless nights for Tommy Bieber

by JetKing55 on May 2, 2011 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

great point ….never noticed that

by MrMartain on May 2, 2011 10:16 PM EDT reply actions  

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