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New York Jets Match Up Better Than a Year Ago With Indianapolis Colts Wide Receivers

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When the Jets were heading to Indianapolis last year for the AFC Championship Game, I had no idea how they planned to cover the Colts' corps of wide receivers. These were quick and speedy guys, the kind that gave a team of Jets corners who aside from Darrelle Revis had good ball skills but not much speed, fits. We all know how that game turned out. I feel much better about Gang Green's chances against Indy's wide receivers this year.

More after the jump.

Star-divide

One thing should not change. Darrelle Revis should shadow Reggie Wayne for pretty much the entire game. Wayne had 3 catches for 55 yards in that AFC Championship Game. Chargers defensive coordinator Ron Rivera said after his team did an excellent job shutting down Indy's offense that letting Reggie Wayne get deep means "sure death" against Peyton Manning. This was hardly an original thought, but it is absolutely true. For most teams, that means shading a safety to Wayne at all times. The Jets should feel confident in leaving Revis alone, which again would be another example of Revis being so good that he in fact creates an extra defender to get into throwing lanes, double another receiver, or blitz.

The Jets have mixed up their coverage more this year than they did last year. Revis has not followed around the top receiver on the other team with a few notable exceptions like Calvin Johnson and Andre Johnson. Trusting Antonio Cromartie on Wayne for an extended time doesn't seem like the best idea, though. Cro is athletic enough that he could (emphasis on could) keep Wayne from doing damage deep. The problem is that Wayne is a wealthy man's Santonio Holmes. He can get deep, but he can also destroy a team underneath with his precise routes. Cromartie is at his best in pure athletic competitions with receivers. He doesn't do as well with guys who cut as sharply as Wayne on shorter and intermediate routes.

Cromartie seems better served on Pierre Garcon, who torched New York in that title bout with 11 catches for 151 yards and a touchdown. Dwight Lowery and Drew Coleman did not stand a chance. Revis was blanketing Wayne to the point where Manning wasn't even looking in his direction. Peyton didn't need to with Garcon running free. Garcon is a bit physical, but I have not been too impressed with what I have seen of his route running. He's a guy who utilizes his speed more than anything. I would be very concerned if he could use his physical style more to create separation with sharp routes, but Cromartie can hang with a receiver who finds most of his success with his pure physical ability. Antonio is not an easy guy to "outathlete."

Part of what helps the Jets is that Austin Collie is out. You saw me question Collie a lot in this space a year ago as to whether he was a product of playing with Manning. I thoughts so at the time. Watching him more, my views have evolved a bit. He doesn't have great physical tools, but he is smart and a very good route runner. This helped him develop good chemistry with his quarterback. Collie is on IR because of concussions. His replacement in the slot, Blair White, has shown flashes, but has not put up a really big game like Collie has the past two years. Collie went for 7 catches, 123 yards, and 1 touchdown in the championship game against Coleman and Lowery.

I also think the Jets are better equipped at corner to defend the secondary targets than they were a year ago. We already talked about Cromartie. The Jets didn't have anybody athletic enough to defend Garcon last year. It goes deeper, though. Cromartie, Marquice Cole, Kyle Wilson, and the Drew Coleman of 2010 are far superior to Lito Sheppard, Dwight Lowery, Donald Strickland, and the Drew Coleman of 2009. Coleman has actually developed some cover skills this year. The others from 2009 were again slower guys with great ball skills. Cole is faster and more athletic. Wilson has shown flashes of being the same.

Please do not take this to mean the Jets are a sure thing to shut down the Indy passing attack. Their receivers might give the Jets problems. Garcon in particular is difficult to bring down after the catch. While I think Cromartie has a good shot of preventing catches, the possibility of seeing damage after the catch is concerning since Cro is not a great tackler. Manning only needs small holes to hit receivers. The Colts also love to run receiver screens, which is somewhat worrisome since New York attacks and does not give corners much help.

It's like I said last night, though. The Jets need to generate pressure and limit big plays. Some teams try to limit big plays by using a consistent cover 2 against the Colts and playing conservatively. The Jets usually trust their coverage. That coverage is in much better shape than a year ago. Just as the pass rush can help the corners, if the corners can do their job, the men up front will have more time to get to Peyton Manning.

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Comments

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I would hope so.

I may not be the most noble of men but in a town of lepers, im the one with the most fingers.

HIRE Josh McDaniels !!!!

by Troy O on Jan 5, 2011 8:46 PM EST reply actions  

Without pressure we have nothing.

Without strong pressure with from the front four you can still expect a long day.

Why couldn’t we draft someone last year. Vernooooooooooooooooon

by RevisChrist24 on Jan 5, 2011 8:52 PM EST reply actions  

Does anybody know who Cro covered a few years ago when he picked off peyton 3 times that 1 game?..If it was Wayne then i say let Cromartie take him and hope for an encore.

by flixenuz on Jan 5, 2011 9:14 PM EST reply actions  

i like our chances

garcon is good but can also drop easy balls .
1 thing i have noticed this year is whe garcon drops a pass manning will go straight back to garcon on his next passing play . that is when we could take advantage by giving cro help.

by tinley24 on Jan 5, 2011 9:20 PM EST reply actions  

None of this matters if we can't pressure Manning

For a half last year, we got under Manning’s skin. Unfortunately for us, it was only for 1 half. Our pass rush stopped getting to him, and he had his way with us.

Get busy winning or get busy losing.

by GangGreenMag on Jan 5, 2011 9:22 PM EST reply actions  

I'm not worried about Manning.Jets will win this game.The following week

against probably the greatest QB to ever play the game(Tom Brady) is another story entirely.Last year the Jets were 71/2 point underdogs.This year only 31/2.Colts are not the same team.

by Putnan Prince on Jan 5, 2011 9:44 PM EST reply actions  

Brady has more Super Bowls, a better passer rating, a better TD-Int ratio, and hasn’t thrown nearly as many backbreaking picks. Brady is the better QB.

Either way, I think the Jets beat Indy and we see you guys the week after in Foxboro.

by dudebro on Jan 6, 2011 8:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Doesn't mean he's better

1. Super Bowls have nothing to do with how good YOU are…look at Marino and Barry Sanders…

2. Brady (minus Moss) thrives on underneath stuff where his receivers do most of the work with YAC

3. Brady was only above average until 2007. He has decent stats but nothing overly impressive, then Moss and Welker came along and as of recent his stats have improved.

4. Brady’s defense was stellar when he won his SBs…Manning won his by himself because his D has been awful and he would probably have more rings if his D was even mediocre

Clear eyes, full hearts, can't lose

by dhrodgers52 on Jan 6, 2011 8:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Another Manning apologist where everything good is his doing and all the losses are the fault of the rest of the team. I guess that pick 6 to Tracy Porter last year was the D’s fault?

by dudebro on Jan 6, 2011 9:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Manning is better...

Manning can read a defense and make in-game adjustments, then torch you…

Brady had his coaches watch illegal film of defenses and give him the “adjustments” before the game…

Just sayin ; )

by Down Since '86 on Jan 6, 2011 10:05 AM EST up reply actions  

9-9

Manning is a pedestrian 9-9 in the playoffs. Soon to be 9-10. He’s been a big game choke artist since Tennessee.

"If you know how to cheat, start now." - Earl Weaver

by rebop on Jan 6, 2011 5:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Has nothing to do with the fact that the Pats are a better team than the Colts.

That Pats have almost always had a shutdown defense since Brady’s been QB, while the Colts have been pretty terrible on defense.

by Evan_S on Jan 6, 2011 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

In High school and college he failed to win the big one.His pedestrian

.500 record in the playoffs speaks volumes.His stats are padded from playing half his games indoors.I would not put him in the top ten QB’s
of all time.

by Putnan Prince on Jan 22, 2011 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Tom Brady is a good quaterback - great really. That said here's my evidence for why Manning is better.

11 – 5. That was the Pats record WITHOUT Brady.

That tells us that Tom Brady is less important to the Patriots than Manning is to the Colts. Why? Because the Colts are built around Manning. The Patriots are not built around Brady.

Brady is good but he’s never been forced to carry a team that way Manning does. Can Brady do it? I don’t know because he’s never had to. But we know Manning does because he does year after year.

Which is why he is the only 4 time MVP. And it’s also why he made the NFL Top’s 10 players of all time.

by Coltsfan1980 on Jan 6, 2011 12:29 PM EST up reply actions  

They had been 16-0...

the year before with Brady, so 11-5 and missing the playoffs is a pretty big drop off. And their schedule in 2008 was soft. I give Matt Cassel a lot of credit for the way he stepped in when Brady went down, but it does nothing to diminish Brady.

"If you know how to cheat, start now." - Earl Weaver

by rebop on Jan 6, 2011 4:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Greta article, but all i'm seeing on TV and in print is the Jets stopping Manning

I don’t see it; and I really don’t care. They gonna put twenty plus points on the board, thats a given. The Jets have to score to win this game. I would like to know or talk about how the Jets going to put points on the scoreboard.

by BIG OH!!!!! on Jan 5, 2011 10:06 PM EST reply actions  

I see the Colts having a problem with our offense

Shawn Greene is going to be bowling over those small Colts linebackers like he was before he got hurt last year, that is really going to open things up where Holmes will be key, even Brad Smith since he’s shown he will pass it.

"We're not there yet, but we're going somewhere," Johnson said. "And we're going to Brooklyn. We're not going to contract. We're going to Brooklyn."

by Atronic on Jan 5, 2011 11:37 PM EST reply actions  

I wouldn't have so much confidence in Greene.

Im not expecting what we have seen recently (to the same extent) but I don’t think Greene is better than McFadden, JMD, or CJ and if they struggled against us (in last three games against each of them they have all gotten less than 50 yards each) I think we could very well shut down Greene and your run game. Will we? I don’t know but I do think its possible and can’t see him running over us at all.

Site Moderator on MockingtheDraft, AnaheimCalling, and Coltzilla.

Lead organizer of the annual 7-round live mock draft at MtD

by TheAngelsColts on Jan 6, 2011 2:48 AM EST up reply actions  

In his last 2 games, which were against the 2 best rushing defenses in the league, he combined for 24 carries for 110 yards. Somehow, I’m not concerned about him running roughshod over the Colts dainty defense.

by Crackback on Jan 6, 2011 4:08 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I'm not concerned about him running roughshod over our defense either

B/c you’re essentially saying he averaged 55 yds/g against the 2 best rushing defenses. Why does this information project a huge rushing day for Greene?

Honestly, the only player I’m really concerned with is Brad Smith.

The 2010 NFL season will bear witness to a singular, epic moment in history as the world will watch my Colts demoralize and dismantle such the teams which the BRB, BCC and MCM contributors represent, en route to #18's holy ascent into our sport's hallowed history. Here comes the Juggernaut.

by Mr. Indianapolis Colts on Jan 6, 2011 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m gonna venture a guess that his 12 carries for 70 yards against the Bears is pretty significant. You know, since their front 7 is MUCH stronger against the run than the Colts is.

And I think its kinda comical that your not worried about how your second string secondary will hold up against edwards, holmes, and keller.

Manning better be out of his mind great if you guys expect that team you have to compete.

by Crackback on Jan 6, 2011 11:17 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

haha you may find it comical i don't.

 Point is the secondary you see now is what we have had basically all season. Nothing different really there they are still secondary players mostly. If you think just cause your the Jets they are going to struggle more than normal suddenly you are wrong. Im really not worried about your passing game that much. Sure its probably your biggest threat as you wont win running the ball but im not overly concerned.

I have faith from what I have seen from our secondary that they can and will get the job done.

Site Moderator on MockingtheDraft, AnaheimCalling, and Coltzilla.

Lead organizer of the annual 7-round live mock draft at MtD

by TheAngelsColts on Jan 6, 2011 12:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm as happy about the defensive "turnaround" as anyone

However, they’re right about Greene. Our rush defense is much stronger against speed backs than power backs which is why we usually contain CJ. Physical runners and fullbacks often give us fits.

That said I do think we’ll ‘contain Greene’ (contain = less than 100 yards) because I fully expect us to load the box and make Sanchez beat us in the air.

by Coltsfan1980 on Jan 6, 2011 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Greene is somewhere between CJ and MjD in style. We stopped both.

So yes your right at what we normally struggle against and we have even done better recently in that area.

Site Moderator on MockingtheDraft, AnaheimCalling, and Coltzilla.

Lead organizer of the annual 7-round live mock draft at MtD

by TheAngelsColts on Jan 6, 2011 12:53 PM EST up reply actions  

MJD is like 5'6

and CJ isn’t exactly the bruiser that Shonne Green is. So maybe you should be more familiar with who you’re talking about before you pass judgement on anything.

by PowerBar on Jan 6, 2011 5:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm the hugest peyton fan....

But you guys will most likely win this game….i hate to say it but manning truly struggles against man coverage thats aggresive …ie…the oakland raiders. The offense isn’t good anymore without the guys peyton is used to throwing to. Sigh..the only chance we have is if we can run the ball and lighten peytons load…but never doubt manning!! Good luck this week!!!!!!

Peyton Manning is God of all things football. I wouldn't care if he threw 100000 picks in a game, he will always be the GOAT!!! u may call me a peyton Homer, but I couldn't care less.

by PEYTON IS GOD!!! on Jan 5, 2011 11:39 PM EST reply actions  

Good luck to you too...

Hopefully things stay cordial between the fan bases…because if the Jets win, the comments for the Pats game will get UGLY real fast…lol…

by Down Since '86 on Jan 6, 2011 10:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Colts fan 1980...

I meant peyton struggles in that when teams such as the jets run press man coverage, they affect peytons timing. Especially when a blitz is coming and they WILL come. And we all know what happens when his timing is affected….see the latest superbowl…. im not saying that we wont win its just that very optimistic. Too many people injured….

Peyton Manning is God of all things football. I wouldn't care if he threw 100000 picks in a game, he will always be the GOAT!!! u may call me a peyton Homer, but I couldn't care less.

by PEYTON IS GOD!!! on Jan 6, 2011 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I Expect a Repeat of last Year's infamous "Shootout"

Between Aaron Rodgers and “The Luckiest 13 in the World” Kurt Warner – there’s going to be a lot of touchdowns and probably several lead changes in this game.
Still…
When push comes to shove I think the Jets will make the necessary adjustments and/or plays and put the game on ice.
Wild-Card Playoff football is all about Big Plays, and the Jets just have way more Big-Playmakers than the Colts do.

by MachlinT on Jan 6, 2011 2:14 AM EST reply actions  

Shootout - really? How many points do you see the Jets' offense scoring, especially with Sanchez's "sore" shoulder.

My guess is that the Jets will play keep away. Ground and pound. Do you really think Rex will put this game in Sanchez’s hands?

by Coltsfan1980 on Jan 6, 2011 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

if we don't have a shootout, it won't be because of Sanchez

it’ll be because of Shotty’s playcalling that constantly kills drives. Or because we have the lead and we’ll ground and pound. One is just as likely as the other.

by PowerBar on Jan 6, 2011 5:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Quick question from a Colts fan - how healthy is Revis?

I heard he tweaked his hamstring awhile back. Is that still affecting his play?

by Coltsfan1980 on Jan 6, 2011 12:22 PM EST reply actions  

Ah...come on Colts fans!

Hey, I’m glad to see you guys here adding to the discourse (and in a mostly polite way, I might add), but you guys really need to know a little more about the Jets before making bold statements. I mean, Coltsfan1980 just referenced Revis’s hamstring injury that hasn’t been an issue since week 4! *sigh Nor did anyone realize that Shonn Greene is a completely different runner than CJ, McFadden, or JMD! Think more Peyton Hillis and less Barry Sanders.

To answer the question, no. It’s not affecting his play. I haven’t seen a dozen passes thrown his way in 8 weeks. He locks down his side. QBs don’t even look there anymore. They just go straight to the guy that Coleman is covering.

by struckanerve9 on Jan 6, 2011 12:53 PM EST reply actions  

Because I'm not a Jets' Fan

I don’t know about Revis’ health because I don’t follow the Jets like I follow the Colts. Of course I know something about every team (especially in the AFC) but I come the opposing team’s blog the week before the game to get this type of information. I’ve actually seen a few people on this blog mention his hamstring (in passing) which is why I asked.

And I’m not sure I made any “bold statements”. It’s not like I said Wayne is going to own Revis because of hamstring problem. I simply asked about his health.

Quick – can you name me at least 7 Colts who have been put in IR without checking the internet? Probably not. Why? Because you’re not a Colts fan. I wouldn’t expect you to.

And on Greene – if you look at my post you’ll see that I acknowledge that Greene is a different back than what we’ve seen the last few weeks.

by Coltsfan1980 on Jan 6, 2011 4:44 PM EST up reply actions  

he's probably talking about angelscolts

who’s pretty hilarious when he’s trying to smack talk because it’s glaringly obvious he doesn’t know who Shonne Green is comparing him to CJ and MJD.

by PowerBar on Jan 6, 2011 5:14 PM EST up reply actions  

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