Monday Night Football Preview: Jets’ Road to the Super Bowl Begins Against Ryan’s Former Team
The 2010-11 season is now upon us, and there are high expectations for the Jets. Their front office spent a lot of money in the offseason in bringing in many new faces. With a possible return to the salary cap in the NFL looming, it is clear that this season is ‘Super Bowl or bust' for Gang Green. And why not? It's been 41 long years for Jets' fans, the drought has to end sooner or later.
The storylines going into the game don't disappoint, as Jets come into this game with targets on their backs after making enemies from ‘Hard Knocks.' Oh, did I mention this game will be Jets' first regular season game at their new $1.6B stadium, or that HC Rex Ryan spent a decade on the Ravens' coaching staff before coming to Florham Park?
This Ravens' team is no stranger to, and has performed well in the 'spoiler' role. They were the first visiting team to win at Pittsburgh's Heinz Field and also knocked off the Cowboys in the final game at Dallas' Texas Stadium just two years ago.
Tonight's game is a huge statement game for Gang Green, being pitted against a team (Baltimore) that many analysts are picking to win the AFC. Will the Jets and their new-look team live up to the hype?
Between the numbers:
(In 2009)
- Jets fielded No. 1 rushing offense (167.5 ypg) ((())) Ravens’ No. 3 rushing defense (88.8 ypg / 3.4 ypc)
- Jets’ defense ranked No. 1 in ypg allowed (269.1) ((())) Ravens No. 2 (293.3)
- Jets allowed season-low 26 TDs while Ravens gave up only 27
StatLine:
Ravens are undefeated in season openers under coach John Harbaugh, while Jets have won three of their last four openers.
Jets' Game-Changer----RB Shonn Greene:
Gang Green must find themselves in ‘3rd and manageable' downs to make Sanchez's job easier. Last season, after RB Leon Washington went down with a brutal leg injury, Greene was called upon by the Jets --- and he answered. The rookie RB improved as the season progressed, racking up 461 yards in his last five games. Greene was a key player in Jets' postseason run last season, and we expect him to do more of the same with RB LaDainian Tomlinson as a great change of pace back to compliment him. Greene is a great down hill runner, and is extremely tough to bring down in the open field as we saw in the playoffs last year.
I look for Jets to ground-and-pound early, in an attempt to force the Ravens to sell out on the run and play man coverage down the field. After which, OC Brian Schottenheimer will dial up a deep play action pass to WR Braylon Edwards over the top. I'm calling it now, Edwards will burn this undersized secondary deep at least once.
Ravens' Game-Changer---- RB Ray Rice:
Being that he was born in Northern NY and played college football at Rutgers University, this is a ‘homecoming' game for him in a sense. Rice is the real deal and is already climbing into the top tier of RBs in the NFL, as the all-purpose back can beat you many different ways. He has great burst, can break tackles, can catch passes out of the backfield, and he can block. Once he is in space, he becomes extremely dangerous, as he is capable of taking it to the house on any given down.
DC Mike Pettine's defensive schemes are blitz-heavy, and Rice is an excellent 'safety valve' option for QB Joe Flacco to counter the Jets' pressure. Jets must drop a LB underneath often to spy on him as a pass-catcher. If he gets daylight and breaks through into the secondary, it could spell disaster for Gang Green. Jets will need to utilize ILB David Harris's excellent closing speed and coverage skills to spy on Rice, preventing him from making some big plays.
Beat 'em through the air:
With CB LarDarius Webb doubtful for Monday night's game, Ravens will be without four DB's (assuming he sits) as well as FS Ed Reed. CB Josh Wilson is new to the Ravens' system and with Reed's absence they lack a strong presence who is familiar with Ravens' defensive schemes to hold the unit together. FS Tom Zbikowski will be calling the shots, a much more conservative safety who doesn't take many chances. Can he be the "glue" that Reed was to hold the new-look secondary together? I don't think so, and I look for a couple of miscommunications in the back for them. Hopefully, Jets can capitalize on the mistake if it does occur.
All of the Ravens' cornerbacks are 5'11" or shorter and they struggle against bigger, more physical receivers. WR Braylon Edwards is 6'3" and he is athletic as they come--- jump balls anyone?
Prediction:
Rex Ryan spent a decade in Baltimore, and it's safe to say he has a very extensive scouting report on his former team. He was also Ravens' defensive coordinator during Flacco's rookie season. While Baltimore may field a very tough defense, if anyone knows how to beat them, it's Ryan. On paper, this is a matchup between two very evenly-matched teams. However, I think the intangibles favor the Jets, which, coupled with their home turf, will be the difference en route to a close victory.
Jets talked a big game during ‘Hard Knocks,' and they will back it up on Monday night, in front of 80,000+ fans during their first game at New Meadowlands' stadium.
Jets 20, Ravens 17
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Im stressed to the max right now.
Hardknocks gave us and the rest of this country a guilty pleasure but it also gave this team a podium to put it’s cockiness on display and write some “Publishers Clearing House” sized checks. That may be the way Rex and the defense like it, but I have a feeling it puts alot of undue preassure on an offense that is led by a QB that is more easily taken off his focus then mabye we first realized. Marks mindset worries me right now.
That being said I think that the game changer is and always will be Mark Sanchez. But As I have said before. I believe that there is one more person that means an untold amount to this teams success. I personally believe Brian Shottenheimer was the hero of the playoffs last year. His play calling and implementation of the wildcat formation (which I think alot of people have forgotten about) kept teams off balance and made Marks Job easy for the most part. Mark shined in the postseason in no small part due to his OC.
With one of the toughest defenses we will face all year the new version of this teams wildcat could be the deciding factor of the game.
As usual Matt great post. It’s 9am and I already feel like Im standing in the tunnel waiting to go out on to the field for my team.
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 8:56 AM EDT reply actions
Relax bud,
Last time I checked our two QB’s were going in two completely different directions last postseason and It wasnt Mark who couldnt be trusted with the ball in his hands against the Pats and Colts. Be realistic, both teams are wondering what their QB’s are gonna give them this season. You should also be worried.
And If you really want to talk about a stupid stat like QB rating. Mabye we could take a look at Flaccos under 30 rating when he went 4 for 10 against the pats.
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Baltimore won. Whats your point?
You quoted QB rating and called out the performance of the Jets QB. I did the same thing with you. Mabye my point would be made better if I quoted your QB’s performance against a team we both face in the playoffs.
Mark VS the Colts= 17 for 30 for 237 yards with 2 td’s and one int “QB rating” 93.3
Joe VS the Colts= 20 for 35 for 189 yards 1 td 2 int’s “QB rating” 48.4
My point? QB rating means nothing. These are two good QB’s neither of which should be over looked by our defenses. To be honest you posted your comment seconds after I read Baltimore Beatdown’s main page (Puff piece) breakdown of tonights game. I found it completely one sided and a horrible breakdown of this Jets team. I hope for your teams sake the coaches on that team did a better job of scouting the Jets. I apologize if you think I was attacking you in my post below. It does seem like that. But in reality I was responding to the type of homerism I read on your homepage. I like honest,realistic, fact driven conversation about the upcoming games and I gave up all hope after reading that post.
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Yea, Flacco has been bad in the playoffs. He’s won some playoff games, but he hasn’t carried the team at any point. Bad QB rating or not, he’s got to improve in big games. It’ll be interesting to see how he responds to all the blitzing tonight.
Alright discount QB rating then.
I was just watching the AFC playbook on NFL network. They highlighted a few plays were Sanchez seems to predetermine his throws. If he’s doing that tonight, questionable secondary or not, he’s gonna get some pickles on that Nacho.
No worries about the comment below. It’s hard to get the tone of some comments, and my comment above could have been read a couple different ways.
No worries. I agree
Mark does like to make sure the whole defense knows where hes throwing the ball. : / Im hoping for more Postseason Mark and less Preseason Mark. As long as he keeps his Pickle and nachos to him self, Im good.
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions
It really comes down to:
Flacco > Sanchez
Jets pass D > Ravens Pass D
"Sometimes it's the people. Any player can play defense, but not every player will play defense. Sometimes it's a lack of perseverance." - A. Johnson
by kv on Sep 13, 2010 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Just so B-more fans understand.
Im not a typical contributer to this site. Im not interested in stupid one liners laced with tiny insults. If you want to talk match-ups and realistic expectations, Im your guy. If you want a typing match and chest pumping fandom, look elsewhere.
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Hey, you need to back up off our Nacho. Matter of fact I’ll bet you a hill of beans he wins us the whole enchilada.
by nationalist88 on Sep 13, 2010 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Nice.
Sold. I’ll take my Rice over your Nacho, and win a hill of beans in the process. That gives me….. some type of mexican dish.
"Rice" and beans!
Too many carbs. No thanks!
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions
NICE!
You guys are funny. Rice vs. Nacho… the winner gets all the beans. I dunno about you guys, but who ever wins tonight is gonna shit on the rest of teams this year. (okay, that was corny… I’m bored. Sue me.)
GANG GREEN ALL DAY!
You see, it's not about how you won the game, it's about how you played the game.... there's a difference.
by King A! on Sep 13, 2010 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Looking forward
to seeing Cromartie play tonight. It seems as if everyone is overlooking him. I read the post on the Ravens site, and they seem to think that Boldin will be controled by Revis, but that Housh will have a big game. No mention of Cro at all. I hope Baltimore’s O coordinator has made the same mistake. Looking for a pick from Cro, and to start the game…. A long bomb to Braylon just to keep the Ravens D on their toes. Can’t wait.
They're overlooking him because
he’s not very good especially against bigger receivers. I still don’t understand the hype, he isn’t physical enough to be in this system and succeed, the only reason he might have decent stats is because he gets to go up against Miami’s and Buffalo’s #2 receivers twice, who ever they are.
by vinnyandthejets on Sep 13, 2010 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions
Nice post Matt!
I cant wait til tonight! It should be a close game (possible OT game) and hopefully we get the “W”… I’m looking forward to the hard hitting. I hope all of our DB’s play to their potential!
"To be honest with you, it could've used a little more Cowbell!"
Well... it's time...
I got to work early today so I could leave early and catch this. Last year’s MNF against the Dolphins was a letdown. Here’s to hoping this one is a surprise. Of all the games I’m nervous about this year, I think this one is at the top of the list for a lot of reasons.
Among my office mates, things are looking grim though. One is a 49ers fan and the other is a Cowboys fan. I’m really hoping for a gloatfest tomorrow. Haha.
Go Jets!
Good stuff Matty, but the score is much too conservative.
The Ravens o-line is in its infancy; they have a bunch of guys playing at different positions (last year’s RT is now at LT, and last year’s RG is now at RT, etc). Taking on Jenkins and Rex’s overloads with guys that will have some measure of uncertainty is not a good thing.
The Jets will get to Flacco early and often, maybe even knock him out. Also think that the combo of Jenkins, Pouha and Devito is impossible to run on. We will shut down their running game. And their lack of a deep threat will let our safeties fly to the edge against their outside runs and swing passes to Rice.
Eric Smith is my darkhorse for having a big game on defense. The Ravens are the exact type of offense that lets him play the style that best suits his skill. He can get down-hill on the running game and receivers on shallow crossing routes, and he can cover TEs down the seam without a problem. Look for Smith to have a big presence in this game.
I also don’t think people realize just how dominant our running game will be. Greene and LD are gonna go off tonight and put the world on notice. They will combine to rush for 200+.
Bold Predictions: Cro pick 6, Braylon blocked punt/FG (thats right, I called it), Gholston 2 sacks (RELEASE THE KRAKEN!!!).
I hope this is sarcasm
The ravens line is still one of the best, I worry about our line specifically Slauson and Woody against the ravens D. And the only time this offense will score 30 in a game is going to be against much weaker defenses like the Pats, yeah I went there.
by vinnyandthejets on Sep 13, 2010 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions
Yea
That crackback’s style. Completely one-wayish. Everyone is great on the Jets.
I just don’t see how the Ravens’ offense scores. Saying you guys put up 13 is my way of basically having Sanchez gift-wrap 7 for you, plus you get 2 FGs. I thought that was a pretty objective view of your offensive production.
Okay crackback
I’ll tell how our offense will attack the Jets vaunted defense. Just wiatng for our lead blogger to put the preview up over at the aptly named Baltimore Beatdown. Patience my friend, patience.
LOL! Plus 1. Pace yourself Crack. Your gonna need alot of redbull to keep this up till kickoff.
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions
You do you Crack, cause theres nobody better at it then you. lol
I expect you at the top of your game all day
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Look out.
Cracks wearin his pompoms. You have all been warned!
by colinyoung on Sep 13, 2010 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions
If Gholston gets 2 sacks tonight I’ll eat my shoe.
… and be happy to do it.
by nationalist88 on Sep 13, 2010 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions
It is amazing how much Revis has improved the play of Sanchez.
"Sometimes it's the people. Any player can play defense, but not every player will play defense. Sometimes it's a lack of perseverance." - A. Johnson
by kv on Sep 13, 2010 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions
THROW THE BALL
Braylon should have a career game today against the ravens weak secondary… its a shame Holmes is out
If the Raven's fielded a team of female reporters,
The Jets would DOMINATE.
lol… just sayin
I don't know shit about baseball.

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