Stat Projection: The Quarterbacks
Over the course of the next month we're going to be running a little activity. As well as your usual training camp news and any story that presents itself we're going to be doing some stat projections with your help.
It's very simple; we'll get through all the positions before the start of the season. We'll write a little introduction, and then post up our stat projections for the players at the position. We will ask all readers to offer their own stat projections, and then just before the start of the year we'll add them all up and find the average GGN projections for each player.
We will post these up in one thread before the season, and then come back to them after the year to see how accurate they were. We hope that every member of GGN takes part in this and if people are reading and have yet to sign up, then now is a good time to do it.
We'll use our own discretion to exclude any projections that we feel are either purposely negative or positive to the extreme. However we do encourage opposing fans to leave their own projections as long as they are thought out and sensible.
For example, if you post that Sanchez will have 200 yards, 1 TD and 29 INT, there is a good chance we will exclude your projections from the eventual post because one projection like that completely ruins the average we are looking for
Any questions post them up in the comments section and we'll answer them as soon as possible.
*Although the segments below contain the projections of all GGN writers, the blurbs are solely my opinion. They don’t represent the general feeling of the staff.
So join us after the break for ours and please leave your own in the comments section:
John B: 323-505, 3339, 26 TD’s 14 INT
David Vill: 250-400, 3500 yards, 20TD’s, 12 INT
Matt B: 270-451, 3650 yards, 24TD’s, 16 INT
Ryan (njdevil): 220/370, 3580, 24 TD’s, 12 INT
Right now I want to believe that the Mark Sanchez we saw in the post season, is the Mark Sanchez we will see the entire 2010 season, and I think it is.
David W: 10-27, 120 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
Matt B: 15-24, 135 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
Dvdvill: No Stats Accumulated
John B: No Stats Accumulated
Ryan (njdevil): No Stats Accumulated
I hope Kellen Clemens doesn’t see the field this year, unless it’s to run the clock down in a blow out win. However I’m going to give him one start, jut to cover in case Sanchez can’t go one week. Or if we’ve tied up a post season berth and he comes in to play a half towards the end of the season.
Dvdvill: No Stats Accumulated
John B: No Stats Accumulated
Matt B: No Stats Accumulated
Ryan (njdevil): No Stats Accumulated
David W: No Stats Accumulated
Dvdvill: No Stats Accumulated
John B: No Stats Accumulated
Matt B: No Stats Accumulated
Ryan (njdevil): No Stats Accumulated
See Eric above. Pretty much the same situation, as a 3rd/4th QB he’ll be hard pressed to find the field, and if he does….something has seriously gone wrong. I didn’t see much of him as SDSU, and only briefly saw his pre-season snaps with the Patriots.
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Cheers BL3ACH, no stats for any of the other QB’s?
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Yeah right the CHISE is playing the whole season LOL I got to think for awhile
I would have to work on them. I would have to look around and see in a normal year how often the backup would play on average I couldn’t even make a guess I am comfortable with right now .T. B. A.
Since the face been revealed the game got real
Well is Brunnel still possible or has that been squashed?
Since the face been revealed the game got real
It’s always possible until we either say otherwise or he signs for another team.
RIght now though, he’s obviously not a Jet.
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When Is a QB not a QB?
I’ve read that Smith has gotten a lot of snaps under the center this off-season. Some have even said he will be in reality the QB back-up. If that is his main function, why not include his stats in this section. What difference does it make where he is listed in the depth chart. He is not a WR on this team, he acts more often as the QB, so let’s be real. Or is there some NFL rule that prevents this.
Brad Smith...
will have more completions than Clemens.
Hrrrmm..
Sanchise:
281-462, 3492 yds, 25 TD, 17 INT; 60 rushing yds, 4 TDs
Clemens:
10-27, 64 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT (I think Sanchez will get dinged up running around at some point)
Ainge:
16-26, 120 yds, 2TD, 1INT (And Clemens sucks too much to stay in for Sanchez)
nobody else accumulates stats
Fun Fact:
David Garrard had more rushing attempts, only 8 less yards, and 3 more rushing TD’s than Leon Washington had last year.
Cheers, hoping that we don’t have to use 3 quarterbacks, but if Sanchez hasn’t learned how to slide, we may well need to.
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I agree, hoping not to have to get to even Clemens
And I’m thinking I may have gone a bit high on Clemens’ attempts, I’m pretty sure he’ll suck his way out of any fill-in time quicker than 27 attempts, to be honest.
Well if you want to change your projections, you are free to do so, just make it clear that this a change to ones already made so I can edit it on my table.,
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Well then, BACKUP EDIT:
Clemens:
7-15, 49 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT
Ainge:
12-22, 106 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
Sorry about that!
And by nobody else accumulates stats,
I mean nobody else actually listed as a QB posts any stats. BSmith is another story.
Brad Smith as the real number Two
The Depth Chart will reflect Brad as number three, but Smith will be an active number two. The Jets will carry Brad as a receiver, the Jets will therefore carry only two QB’s (instead of Four) in Sanchez and Ainge. Roster flexability
Sanchez 421 attempt, 253 competions for 3,130 yards, 23 TD’s , 11 INT
Smith 48 attempts, 27 completions, for 411 yards, 4 TD’s , 0 INT
Ainge 2- 1- 6yards ,0,0
Make sure you put your passer projections for Brad Smith down when the Wide Receiver projections appear at some point over the next couple of weeks. That’s where he is listed right now, so that’s where the projections will go.
Sanchez and Ainge’s have been noted though.
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Smith 48 attempts , 27 completions for 411, 4tds, 0 int
of the 3-4 68 yards from punt formation
18 receptions for 192 yards ( 9 receptions on WR screens)
Rushing 44 carries for 264 yards 2 touchdowns, one a QB sneak…
Rex is the guy that drives Smith to become a bigger part of the offense, Brad responds in a big way
Sanchez: 325/530, 4000 yards, 30 TDs 14 INTs, 300 rushing yards, 3 rushing TDs
Brunell: I dunno, like 6/12 for 92 yards after we rest Sanchez for the second half of week 17 for the upcoming playoff game ;)
Nobody else accumulates passing stats besides Brad Smith.
Personally I think ground ‘n’ pound goes out the window after a couple of weeks when we realize “oh yeah we have like 4 legit receiving threats”. We start racking up the points, force teams to play right into our ridiculous pass defense and CRUSH them.
QB STATS
SANCHEZ ISN’T GOING TO BE GREAT-YET, BOT I THINK HE’LL BE MORE THAN SERVICEABLE-220/400-20/12-@3200 YDS.
200/400 3000 yards 14 TDs 16 INT
A continual gradual improvement, Sanchez struggles a bit carrying more of the load while the running game shows flashes but isn’t as good as last year.
Clemens/Brunnel get a handful of stats, but nothing important.
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You mind putting up the stats for Clemens, even if they are a handful would help towards the average.
Not going to ask for Brunnel’s yet as he isn’t a Jets player right now.
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4/12 60 yards, 1 TD 0 INT with Edwards breaking out one of his passes for 40-50 yard TD.
Wheel of Location, Turn Turn Turn. Tell us the location that we will play.
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Honest Prediction here
Mark Sanchez 255-400 3100 yards 18 td’s 15 Int’s….
I do have a question though
I see some predictions giving Sanchez 10-12 more td’s this season. And while I can see that happen I’m just not sure were the numbers come from. Is it just a guess or did people put a little time behind there answers. Just a question
Can only speak for myself. I gave him a lot more for three main reasons 1) I think his pass attempts will make a jump with less dependence on the run game this year. 2) His maturation as a QB and the touch he showed in the play-offs, looked more comfortable with his reads. 3) His receivers are going to turn a lot of players into TD’s IMO, He didn’t start with Edwards last year, and now with Edwards/Holmes(week 5 onwards) and Cotchery, as well as Keller and some screens to the backfield….I think that’s why he will see a jump in his TD passes.
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by David_Wyatt on Jul 19, 2010 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions
Here it goes
Sanchez:
240/430 for 3000 20 TDs and 12 INTs with 140 yards rushing, and 4 rushing TDs.
I see him taking a nice stride forward along the lines of what Flacco did last year, he obviously has better weapons than Flacco did but we all saw Matt Ryan take a slide back last year and I don’t want to get overly optimistic about Sanchize especially since he didn’t have near the rookie years that Flacco and Ryan had. (although I really think Matt Ryan will take a huge step forward and turn out to be the best pro QB taken in the last few years, then again as a BC guy I think Doug Flutie could have been the greatest QB of all time and that Rich Gunnell will step up and become an NFL starter, so I do have a bit of a bias). Also I didn’t see other rushing projections above, and I think that he will continue to try scrambling and putting himself at risk.
Kellen Clemens:
8/15 for 140 Yards 1 TD and 1 INT with 3 yards rushing
I hope he doesnt get play time, but he probably will get a little, and when I first read the article for some reason when I saw his name I read just “keller” instead of “kellen” and saw the yard projections and was shocked, then I read the first line about hoping he doesn’t see the field and was really confused. Then I noticed it was Keller. I need some caffine.
I hope no one else sees the field at QB (this means you Brunnell)
Well that was my first reaction, but if he is in the game most likely we are blowing a team out of the water. LOL So I do hope he gets some playing time.
Since the face been revealed the game got real
Sanchez is going to have to show me he has learned to protect himself better before I pencil him in for a full season lol
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by David_Wyatt on Jul 19, 2010 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
Cheers BL3ACH, been added as well as your earlier ones.
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by David_Wyatt on Jul 19, 2010 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
Sanchez: 248/422, 3237 yards, 23 td, 13 int.
Clemens: 4/10, 38 yards, 0 td, 0 int.
Ainge/O’Connell: None
I hope that the Jets are able to use a QB for garbage time, which is why I gave Clemens anything, but I hope the QB would be Brad Smith instead.
My Predictions
Sanchez: 260/430, 3250 yards, 22 TD’s, 13 Int, 60 yards rushing, 2 rushing TD’s
I don’t see him throwing 20+ INT’s again but I think he will still toss some due to growing pains. TD’s up for most of the reasons stated above. Rushing TD’s because I don’t see him resisting the temptation to run it in himself that he showed last season.
Clemens: 10/17, 45 yards, 0 TD, 0 INT
Any scores that come with Clemens in will come from the run game, Schotty will not want him to be throwing too far downfield or anything too risky. For the same reason, no INT. I think he probably comes in for a half/quarter and change during a blowout.
Ainge/O’Connell: No stats accumulated
I think Mark can go the distance to the point where Clemens will be the only QB we ever need to sub in, with the caveat that if either of them improves by leaps and bounds this camp this might change.
"I reject your reality and substitute my own"
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by blueandorange4life on Jul 19, 2010 12:53 PM EDT reply actions
Great Job Running This Thing Though David and Getting It Up!
More to come like this, great idea you had,. Love it.
Will be interesting to bump these threads towards the end of the season and see who was closest!
Gang Green Nation
I’m hoping that when I work out the averages, those are closest to the actual stats. A W for GGN so to speak.
Cheers though, still hoping to get a few more people get their projections down.
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?? where?
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I checked it via Pro-Reference, and whoever this is doesn’t exist.
So either Carson Palmer 2004, Matt Ryan 2009, Chris Miller 1995, or Vinny 1997
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BOLD. But that would be awesome if San put those numbers we would be playing in the finals.
You realize that is over an 85% completion rate right?
Since the face been revealed the game got real
That is a little crazy, the completion % is what 86% or something like that, the highest completion % last year was 70% and that was Drew Brees, 67% in 2008 and that was Pennington and 68% in 07 with Brady. It’s hard enough getting over 70%…but over 80%….
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I see Improvement coming, but not a huge leap
Sanchez
240-415, 3750, 19 TD’s, 14 Int’s
Clemens
12-27, 68, 1 TD, 1 Int
Mark Sanchez 2010 projections
I think Mark Sanchez will take a big step forward this year, but I think he’ll take shots down the field, but for the most part he will protect the football like he did last year down the stretch.
259 completions
432 attempts (27 attempts per game)
3,360 yards (210 yards per game)
26 touchdowns
10 interceptions
224 rushing yards
4 rushing touchdowns
2 receptions for 26 yards
from the wildcat / mizzou package / trojan package (as I think McKnight will line up back there a few times this year)
That’s 17 yards a completion and 8.8 yards an attempt for Brunell
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