Who Will Be the Number Two Back?
We discussed LaDainian Tomlinson's desire to start yesterday. Barring an injury to Shonn Greene, that seems unlikely. Greene is by far the most complete runner on the roster. The real question is who will get the carries behind Greene. Most teams split carries between a pair of backs in today's NFL. It doesn't seems likely a third back will get too many touches. Even when they ran the ball more than any team in the league with a rookie quarterback in 2009, the Jets used two runners. Greene did not break into the rotation until Leon Washington's injury.
There are two primary candidates behind Greene. The first is Tomlinson. The second is Joe McKnight. Both enter the year with question marks. Tomlinson's are based on whether he still can play. It's a real question. He was one of the least effective runners in the league with the Chargers last season. He can come up with all of the excuses he wants. The fact is he was terrible. Maybe his run blocking wasn't great, but he was near the bottom of the league at things he could control like breaking tackles and making guys miss. Maybe the Chargers were a pass first team, but shouldn't that have helped? He didn't see any eight man fronts. Maybe he didn't get as many touches as in the past, but he was plenty effective earlier in his career in games where he didn't carry the ball often.
McKnight enters with his own questions. A lot of people will point to his lack of conditioning for his first rookie camp. It probably got blown out of proportion, but any rookie needs to adjust to the speed of the NFL game. Can he adjust and show the form that made him a dominant runner at times at USC?
I see Tomlinson starting the year as the second back as the Jets still seem to think he has something left in the tank and McKnight taking over the job at some point near the middle or end of the season. How do you think this will play out?
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i really dont think LT will be effective at all. i dont know why we got rid of TJ in favor of him but thats old news. LT just isnt anything close to what he used to be and this will be his last season in the NFL. i think he will start the season as the number 2 but mcknight will bloom a little late and be a very good replacement for leon as a shifty scat back to change the pace and as a return man.
Disagree, TJ was a product of the Jets o-line...
we got rid of him because he was going to have to take a lesser role this year with Greene getting a lot more carries, and I’m sure he would revert back to his distracting ways when the same situation happened in Chicago that caused him to be traded to us in the first place. LT is a far more complete back, who is an excellent receiver, and a better compliment to Greene. LT’s decline has just as much do to SD’d horrible run blocking and switch to a pass first offense, as a decline in his skills. Even if he is only 60% of what he was he will be amazing behind the Jets o-line.
Thomas jones was a thousand yard runner in a average o-line in chicago, he was not a product of the Jets o-line. Even if the Jets o-line was that good TJ proved that he could push through the defense. I think he will have another 1000 yard season with KC as long as he gets enough touches
Jets green since 1997
Yeah... no
When the hell did he push through anything last year? His carries consisted of bumping into an offensive lineman at the line of scrimmage and falling forward a couple of yards as soon as someone on the defense touched him.
Exactly...
Those who watched the Jets last year know TJ did not run well, despite what the stats may say.
If your OL is anything like it was last year
Then LT and the your other backs should produce nicely. For LT its going to be what kinds of holes he gets and if he still has the ability to shake defenders in the open field
Remember no matter where you go in life...there you are!
by McCards010 on May 9, 2010 10:19 AM EDT reply actions
Feel like we paid a bit too much money for a RB that will be third on the depth chart.
Darrelle Revis once won a game of Connect Four in three moves.
LT will be the second back on the roster without doubt. He will be just fine. I don’t need to go out on a limb when I say that his yds/carry will be at least as good as TJ.
i could see SG getting 15-20 carries and LT getting 10-15 carries a game. JM will get his opportunities as well. It’s a long season and we don’t want to overload SG. we need him for the long haul.
the bigger concerns for our running game will be the development of the LG (slauson or ducasse) and staying away from injuries.
If LT is done, he doesn’t believe it. He is doing everything in his power to get his body into starting shape. All I hear about is how he is never seen outside of working out to get ready. I don’t think he will be a starter at all, but I do think he will be productive with this offense. McKnight will be a late bloomer like Greene was, but will come along nicely.
Get busy winning or get busy losing.
I don’t think Greene was a late bloomer. he just caught the injury bug early on.
McKnight on the other hand might do better with lower expectations. At least that’s what i’m hearing about him.
the great thing with McKnight is that if he’s put in the right situation he will take it to the house. defense’s cannot take him lightly or they will get burned. this might very well be his advantage over Reggie Bush, at least in his rookie season.
I'm guessing
We’ll be able to see what Tomlinson has in the preseason.
I wouldnt want to have a scat back as my backup but thats just me.
2009 NY Phin PhansFantasy League Champion
2009 Best Regular Season Record in NYPPL.
2010 The Jim Mandich NewsFlash Award Winner.
Scat back? LT had 12 tds last year and Rex has said he expects to use him in 3rd down and goaline situations. While he is not the bruising style of Greene he is hardly a scat back.
by george JETson on May 9, 2010 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions
I was refering to the dude you drafted
McKnight
2009 NY Phin PhansFantasy League Champion
2009 Best Regular Season Record in NYPPL.
2010 The Jim Mandich NewsFlash Award Winner.
LT and McKnight may contribute more in the passing game, than in toting the rock. Chauncy Washington may have an opprotunity here. The Jets may carry an uncoventional 4 RBs, with two FB’s in Richardson and Connor
I agree with you on CW
There is a real chance that he might have a roll. It depends what McKnight’s make up is. They might really need Chauncy as a carries safety net – the three other RBs have potential for season doubts.
by kv on May 9, 2010 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Chauncy will proboably get a lot of carries in the preseason.
by Bob_The_Friendly_Baker on May 9, 2010 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions
No way Chauncey makes the team unless there's an injury
they can not carry six RB’s, no way, no how, nor would they have a reason too.
So does that mean Mcknight will be taking most of them? Theyll probably want to keep Greene and LT fresh for the season.
by Bob_The_Friendly_Baker on May 9, 2010 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions
I think McKnight
…is a litte more important to the whole equation than people might realize. Ideally, even if LT performs well, McKnight eventually becomes our Washington. It seems like Tannenbaum cut the running back pie in three ways in view of three possible failures.
1). Greene can really be a prime runner (but he gets injured, doesn’t block and fumbles).
2).. LT can be a swiss army knife of a runner, and dynamic (but he might be a bit washed up).
3). McKnight can be a Leon Washington, and perhaps even better (may psychologically not handle it).
I think Tanny is thinking, we need only 2/3 performing at any one time. He wants to put McKnight on the back burner and let LT and Greene push each other with a view towards Greene becoming dominant by the end of the year again. If Greene goes down though Mcknight really will be needed to take carries away from LT so at least he is fresh for the playoffs. And if LT has really lost it, McKnight needs to be able to relieve Greene.
It’s kinda musical chairs. But I think if McKnight proves a bust (which I doubt), the whole gamble gets dicey. They want to be a running team but without McKnight as a contingency for the doubts on the other two, the run game could be stressed.
What I’d be hoping for is that with Holmes down for 4 games the Jets give a big load to both LT and SG, and put a lot of pressure on the defense to carry them for the first 5. By then Greene should really have hit his stride, and LT will have to face some of the age music (not to mention the fact that the Jets have heavy investment in Greene’s success). By week 7 McKnight has shown a few flashes of brilliance, and in week 8 LT has an injury that takes him out for 2 weeks. By week 10, all three are back, its Greene’s team, and all weaponds are on board. That’s my little fantasy picture.
I'm saying
that in my little scenerio of what would be ideal, a two week injury at the right time of the year under the circumstances I described might be best. This is different than saying “I hope LT gets injured”, though I have not been beyond hoping that someone got injured so that someone else could play.
by kv on May 10, 2010 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions
the fumbling is being blown out of porportion
Hefumbled 3 times in the season in around 10 weeks with serious carries. I think it is fair to say he was getting used to the NFL a little. He not once fumbled in college
JETS
All I know is that when watching
him run, I just kept saying “please don’t fumble”. Its a feeling one gets, its about the moment, and the way that players respond to it – do they squeeze the ball too much, do they try to hard, how conscious are they. At the biggest running moments I didn’t want him to have the ball really.
My intuition was what it was, maybe you didn’t share it. But the problem wasn’t with the number of fumbles “3”, but with the way he ran, and when.
Maybe its no big deal.
cw
I saw chauncey play at USC when they were still a strong team. lol and he was the go to guy for some dependable yardage and he was consistent, not the flashy, take it to the house runner but consistent. kv is right cw has some elusiveness and hidden power. I hope they keep him around for insurance, he’s young and strong. Hope they work him preseason to prove himself. If he craps out then at least we know.
Yea, forget the TJ stuff already, he wasn’t listed in the top ten running backs and with over 1400 yds that shows you the so called experts think he was really overrated also. Maybe CW could have got over 1000 with the jets O-Line in a full season. lol
I don't know if this has been posted here at GGN before
But here is Michael Fabiano’s fantasy prediction analysis for LT, in the 2009 season, based on his age and his number of carries:
“So what does this all mean for Tomlinson?
Well, his average of 332 carries from his rookie campaign to last season would have ranked third behind Dickerson and George. Based on the fact that both of those backs declined, which was the norm for most of the players on the list, it’s hard to envision a scenario where L.T. will rebound in 2009.
In fact, the past shows that Tomlinson will likely see a further decrease in his disappointing 2008 totals."

This was of course for LAST year’s performance. It is interesting that Curtis Martin is mentioned. It could very well be that LT just had something similar to Curtis Martin’s last season in (Martin in 2005: 220 carries, 3.3. yds, 12 games). But Martin was a runner with more power. The fact is, when you approach 3000 carries, its almost always on the other side of the hill.
What is also interesting is the mention of Walter Payton. As Fabiano correctly identified a trend, statistically (having nothing to do with Turner, passing attacks or the OL), and it came to fruition in a big way, one really has to wonder if it continues. If we are going to compare him to someone like Walter Payton, are we going to get Payton’s season at age 31: 324 attempts, 4.8 yd/a, 20 a/g (that’s what LT sees), or are we going to get Payton in the last year at age 33: 146 attempts, 3.7 yds/a and 12 a/g in 12 games (that’s what one would hope for at best). here
The thing is, having watched Walter Payton, LT is no Walter Payton. I’ve always found LT to be dramtically overrated when people want to put him with the all time greats. He was a pretty cool back in his hey day, but he simply isn’t Walter Payton, not in his prime and not in his last years, which is what he would have to be if he was going to rebound from the downturn.
Martin’s a tough guy to compare to anybody because he was playing through what eventually was a career ending injury after the second game of ’05.
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Good point, but
in the study he is compared to every NFL 30 year old back with the same history of carries.If Fabiano is right, it began in 2008, and is really downhill from there on out. The 2009 numbers were anticipated (and even worse than that), as we can imagine the 2010 numbers will be. We’ll see of course, but it is important to note that this is a deeper trend that goes beyond the circumstances of LT’s situation. I can certainly see him as something like Payton in the final year. All the skills, some burst, but not a lot in the tank.
by kv on May 9, 2010 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions
cw
Had to look up chauncey’s last year at USC and here’s the stats 2007. 195 carries 969 yds for a 5.0 avg. 10 td’s, 7 rec for 2 td’s. no fumbles at all. Less carries in 2006 no fumbles either and 4.8 yds per carry. I think only played for 2006, 2007 but 2 years over 350 carries and not 1 fumble, not no fumbles lost, didn’t drop the rock at all. As a freshman was one of 3 who they felt had a good shot at the starting RB position. The other 2, Reggie Bush and Lendale White. He got injured and had to redshirt.
This guy can play and might bloom with the jets, if he does could be a small diamond in the rough.
totally agree.
In fact the Jets have a nice stable of backs. McKnight is something of a boom or bust, CW can be a really good fill-in, carries back. They have the mentors of LT and TR, the young horse in Greene, and really my favorite John Conner who I think is going to impact this team down the road in a big but subtle way.
by kv on May 9, 2010 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions
WTF is with the CW lovefest...
guy is a scrub practice squad player, he does not make the team unless someones injured, even then Woodhead probably makes it over him because he brings a lot more flexibility. This is his third team, he already couldn’t cut it with Jacksonville or Dallas, and spent most of last season dangling on Dallas’ practice squad for anyone to grab if they thought he was worth anything.
Its a question of need
I think he makes the team, you think he doesn’t. Green has a history of injury. Do you really want a back field of LT and McKnight with Woodhead as backup on a team that wants to run the ball into the ground? That is a very light backfield. I can’t see that.
by kv on May 9, 2010 1:37 PM EDT up reply actions
I think if they were at all concerned at all about Greene or thought it was a need they wouldn't have
let TJ go, sign LT, draft McKnight. They are already going to have to make a spot for Conner (who I also think they feel could fill in for the emergency roll), decide if they are still going to keep 4 QB’s, they also have a ton of DB’s and LB’s they like that will have to make the roster. Roster spots are at a premium right now for this team and a player like CW can be found on every practice squad in the NFL if he’s only making it in case of emergency. They are not keeping a scrub RB whose 4th on the depth chart, and adds nothing else to the team, it would be a complete waste of a roster spot.
When you say: “if they were at all concerned at all about Greene or thought it was a need they wouldn’t have let TJ go, sign LT, draft McKnight.” I have to disagree. They let TJ go in order to give Greene the room to grow, but doubts about his ability to stay on the field were what was behind the other moves. We are free to disagree though.
by kv on May 10, 2010 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions
Disagree 100%...
if they were at all worried about his ability to stay on the field they would have kept TJ, the best thing he brings is his durability. They instead released TJ, because there are no concerns, and signed LT, because he is a much better complimentary back to Greene. Going after McKnight (a third down back, who was a replacement for LW) instead of looking at a depth guy (Dwyer, Blount, Dixon) only further shows they have no concerns.
I remember Woodhead picking up some blitzers when he was in the backfield. Seems like he is a pretty good blocker for a little guy.
sure, I like woodhead
the thing is, when Leon went down the logical move would have been to incorporate Woodhead who was the only dynamic back who had a game resembling LW, and it didn’t happen.
by kv on May 9, 2010 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions
The following is the averages and per game rushing carries for the first 6 games last year.
TJ LW SG
20 15 4
14 14 3
14 12 1
13 4 19
13 10 8
22 15 7
______________________________
16 10 6
Greene got 6 carries a game as the # 3 and even got 19 in game 4 against the Saints. It would seem that Rex Knows how to get even the # 3 guy some touches and will go with the hot hand during a game. Maybe Mcknight comes on like gangbusters but it looks like he will get the # 3 spot and get touches in the return game.
I think its going to be close to that this year..
although sub Green for TJ, LT for LW, and McKnight for Greene. I also think LT may get a few more carries then LW, maybe even about equal with SG, also probably being named the starter.
What happens to Chauncey Washington in all this.
I feel like he didn’t get a fair shot at all. He just got knocked down to 4th or 5th starter.
by colinyoung on May 9, 2010 3:46 PM EDT reply actions
I have a feeling that Greene and LDT are gonna be treated like 1 and 1a
At least to start out the season. LDT’s gonna impress in the offseason and preseason, I’m sure. They’ll probably share the load fairly evenly at first, and then LDT’s gonna wear down and Greene will pick it up and McKnight will get more involved too.
4 rb's
I like the 4 rb’s 2 fb’s set up but we’ll see. If we are a running team first it only makes sense. What did we carry in WR’s last year 10+? If we are in a decent lead and it’s the 4th qtr and want to run the clock out, our O line has been kicking ass, the other teams defense is getting worn down. Forget playing Green let his ass rest, get some other pounders in there that hold on to the rock, to eat up some yards and the clock.
4 RB's
It is tough to carry 4RB and 2FB’s. The problem is that Greene, LT, and McKnight ( found out that MCknight suffers from Migraines, ala Percy Harvin, could be why he was losing his lunch). Conner will be a fullback on this team, the question his do you cut TonY Richardson ? A lot depends on how Conner picks up the offense. Tony is a little long in the tooth and doesn’t play specials. Look for Mulligan and/or Cumberland your 3rd string TE to take reps at FB, if this scenario has a chance.
Carrying Chauncy Washington over Tony Richardson , not the most popular move in Jet World.
It looks to me like in the regular season we’re gonna have 3 HBs, 2 FBs and 2 TEs. 4 RBs is tough to do, unless we carry only 4 WRs and go seriously thin at OL. Or I dunno, I have to think about it really.
3 QBs
3 HBs
2 FBs
2 TEs
5 WRs
7 OLs
Even that doesn’t look too enticing. We might think about going just 2-deep at QB and in case of massive injury emergency we go to Brad Smith at QB…?
On a 53 man roster, you have 3 specialists , Punter , Place kicker, and long snapper( of Mulligan wins the LS you save a roster spot). So the Offense / Defense split is between 24 and 26, Let’s just say you have an even split 25/25.
Offense
3 QB’s
4 RB’s
1 FB
8 OL
3 TE
6 WR
-——————-
25 on offense
DL 7
LB 8
DB 10
-———
25 on defense
Hmm...
Nice work but some exceptions,
1) I think 5 RB’s are a lock; Greene, LT, McKnight, TRich and Conner
2) Still think there’s a good chance they keep four QBs (Clemens is probably gone but a vet should be brought in)
3) That probably means only 9 DBs, the other cut probably coming from WR or maybe OL, at WR I’m thinking they could use McKnight in a pinch, so 5 won’t be the end of the world. Also might just go with 2 TE (but like you said if Mulligan its both, well so is Dearth not that he ever lines up at TE.)
4) One extra player makes it for the first 4 weeks in place of Holmes, probably another WR but who knows, that player is probably Woodhead, just because he can play to positions and STs.
So its:
Locks:
Offense (23)
QB: (3) Sanchez, Ainge, (back-up vet other than Clemens)
RB: (5) Greene, LT, McKnight, TRich, Conner
WR: (5) Holmes, Edwards, Cotch, B. Smith, Clowney
OL: (8) Mangold, Ferg, Moore, Woody, Ducasse, Slaussen, Hunter, Turner
TE: (2) Keller, Harstock
Defense (20)
DL: (6) Jenkins, Pouha, Ellis, DeVito, Gholston, Pitutua
LB: (6) Harris, Scott, Pace, B. Thomas, Taylor, Westerman,
DB: (8) Revis, Cro, Wilson, Leonhard, Pool, E. Smith, Lowery, Ihedigbo,
ST
Kicker, Punter, LS (3)
Total is 46, so 7 spots left with us needing:
1 -2 DBs, (Warren, Cole, Coleman, Jackson, Bo Smith)
1 DL (Basped, Kroul, Steinkuler, Williams, Wright, Lamb)
2 LB (Reamer, Satele, Mauga, Laury, Cummings, Butler)
2-3 Offense spots needs probably being WR-TE-RB-QB-OL in that order from (notables):
O’Connell, Allison, CW, Woodhead, Mulligan(if he’s not LS), Henry, Kirkland, Cumberland, J. Davis, and all the other OLs
Again they are probably going to carry an extra WR for the first 4 games.
Looking at that now I’m thinking they are going to take the player they like best and ignore the position from (O’Connell, CW, Woodhead, Kirkland, and Cumberland, from a developmental stand point, with O’connell having a big edge) with the other O spot going to a depth WR (probably either Allison or Henry).
Please don't bring in Mark Brunell
that is all we need, an Christian evangelist old “mentor” to Sanchez who is already feeling his oats and has something of an NFL identity going. Although ironically Brunell’s daughter is:

however odd that combo.
by kv on May 10, 2010 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions
The Judge has done some outstanding work… Thanks
The only thing that I quibble with is O’Connell at 3rd Qb, I am not seeing a veteran Qb that is worth the money. As previously posted, I am going with the very unpopular CW over T-Rich.
Okay , 7 guys left:
Allison WR, competes with Clowney for Four weeks, the loser goes home.
Warren and Jackson DB’s
Kroul at DL
I see Basped as an OLB, Laury, Reamer and Satele other ILB ( eight spot created by Holmes suspension)
I like these last eight guys on special teams, Westoff may be able to create something dominant.
t rich
I think they have to keep t-rich at least this season and I think they go 4 rb’s, 2fb’s. We’ll see how it goes and they should not carry 4 qb’s. Judge did do a good job and I thought Basped was a LB also.

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