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Jaworski: Rex Ryan has Tom Brady's Number

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Ron Jaworski, color commentator for ESPN's Monday Night Football, has discovered something while preparing for Monday's showdown: Tom Brady is not Brady-like against Rex Ryan:

From ProFootballTalk:

"Tom Brady has not solved that Jets defense," Jaworski said. "You just watch the areas of the field where he attacks. He struggles to the outside, the middle of the field, missing blitz pressures. This Jets defense has Tom Brady’s number. And until Tom Brady can solve that defense, this offense is going to struggle."

I can say I have noticed a similar trend. Back when the Patriots were the Darth Vaders of the NFL in 2007, the 5-11 Baltimore team (who gave Miami it's only win that year)  nearly beat the almost-perfect Pats, when Brady's completion percentage was under 50%. In 2009, the Pats failed to score a touchdown in their first meeting, and only put up 14 points in week 2 of 2010. 

Why is Brady not successful against Ryan? For one, he's not very mobile, and that's the best tool to beating a Ryan blitz: running away from it. Darrelle Revis has something to do with it. Brady has also not had a great rushing threat, which is another key element to beating Ryan. For example, look at what Jones Drew did to the Jets last year, and look at the impact Peyton Hillis had. Now, however, the Pats are re-committed to running the ball, giving them balance. 

Is it Monday yet?

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Comments

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Jaws

A feel good story coming from a football analyst I actually like…

The media has me feeling that the Jets have no chance

by Grandoner on Dec 3, 2010 11:31 AM EST reply actions  

If you haven’t noticed, every “expert” always picks the hottest team that won by the biggest margin the previous week. Did most people not pick the Colts to win the Super Bowl?

Contributing Writer - GangGreenNation.com
Marty Brodeur - Stealing Rangers' lunch money since 1990

by Ryan Alfieri on Dec 3, 2010 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

i was watching the nfl playbook....weeks back when they traded Moss away

and one of their analyst-Brian Baldinger stated that Bill Belichick was trying to rebuild his offense in order to best beat the Jets.

Brady is probably throwing it as well as he’s ever thrown it," Baldinger told the Herald in a phone interview Friday. "But they’ve eliminated a lot of the low-percentage type throws, those 40-yard streaks down the sidelines. So it’s really (playing) to Tom’s strength right now, just point and shoot and get the ball out of his hands quickly. Since the Cleveland game, that offense has been awfully sharp. It’s a good-looking offense right now."
It’s Baldinger’s belief that teams that employ a passing attack more reliant on short and intermediate routes than the deep ball have greater success against the Jets defense, which blitzes a lot and goes all out to pressure the quarterback. With Moss running his standard fly patterns against Gang Green, Brady rarely had the time to get him the ball, essentially eliminating one of his options.
With Branch, who serves as that short-to-intermediate route runner, complementing Wes Welker in the slot, along with tight ends Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski proving viable targets, the offense has gotten into the kind of flow Baldinger believes Belichick was looking for with an eye toward the Jets. While second-year wideout Brandon Tate occasionally stretches the field, the offense is still of the quick-strike variety. Running back Danny Woodhead has added another layer, as he’s been a more-than-capable third-down back, both catching passes out of the backfield and running out of the shotgun formation, in the absence of injured Kevin Faulk

So far the new offense sluggishly beat the Ravens and beat the Steelers…ultimate test is the your team.

Here is the 2nd article link ….(can’t find the first org article that interviewed Brian Baldinger-its archived and i have to pay money to access it)
http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/football/patriots/view/20101128pats_now_running_on_jet_engine/

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 3, 2010 11:45 AM EST reply actions  

errh...there is no the ..in my conclusion

Non Sibi Sed Patriae &I love my ZX-6r Kawasaki.
I bleed Scarlet and Grey...A Buckeye for Life

Toy Story wears no. 39 100x better than D.D.R

Pat McAfee -Colts punter-"@StampedeBlue I hope your website gets exposed for a complete joke. There’s no reason for you to do that, and its completely ridiculous."

by NinjaZX6R on Dec 3, 2010 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

I love Jaws

Him and Merrel Hodge give you insight that you can’t see on TV. However, as a Jet fan, I feel he completely out of line here. The first win Brady was coming off his injury and he clearly was not the same. The second win against Brady was a good defensive effort but not total domination. Now I know he’s including when he was at Baltimore, but the Jets are only two and one against Brady. I hope he is right, but I don’t agree, yet.

by BIG OH!!!!! on Dec 3, 2010 11:56 AM EST reply actions  

Every time Gorge says “factor back” I wanna puke…he says it 20 times a segment…

by Down Since '86 on Dec 3, 2010 1:15 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

damn cell phone speller

Gorge should be Hodge lol…

by Down Since '86 on Dec 3, 2010 1:16 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Good point. good stuff njdevil, keep it comin brotha.

Even last years debacle in NE, the score was what it was more so because of sanchez being a turnover machine than it was brady carving us up.

If we execute on offense we’ll win easy. Just like the first game earlier this season. Once sanchez got groovin, it was smooth sailin.

by Crackback on Dec 3, 2010 12:03 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

I just don’t like giving Schotty extra time to prepare. He goes overboard with the extra time.

Contributing Writer - GangGreenNation.com
Marty Brodeur - Stealing Rangers' lunch money since 1990

by Ryan Alfieri on Dec 3, 2010 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep. I don’t mind the schemes where he’s trying to get match-ups or playmakers in space, but it kills me when his main focus is to be unpredictable or to do the unexpected.

by Crackback on Dec 3, 2010 12:39 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Forget Brady losing his hair over this game

…I’ve been pulling mine out by the handful and the kickoff isn’t for another three days and 8 some-odd hours away.

On another note, Ron Jaworski was a guest on WEEI this morning and talked glowingly about the Patriots and how Brady never gets rattled. I respect Jaws but he knows his audience and plays it up like a campaigning politician.

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Dec 3, 2010 12:06 PM EST reply actions  

He may not get rattled, but that doesn’t mean he doesn’t lose his effectiveness against Ryan. Brady will take shots to get a throw off.

Contributing Writer - GangGreenNation.com
Marty Brodeur - Stealing Rangers' lunch money since 1990

by Ryan Alfieri on Dec 3, 2010 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I think brady can be rattled. We got him in week 1 last year. Not saying its an easy task, but if we’re pressure to him consistently he’s a lot less effective. They didn’t start lighting up the lions until the 4th qtr of that game, and I’m pretty sure that that was when they figured out how to get him some time so he could go to work on that corner.

by Crackback on Dec 3, 2010 12:36 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Merrel Hodge is terrible...

Trent Dilfer is quickly becoming the best analysis on TV…And his backing up Sanchez when nobody else would doesn’t hurt his stock, either!

by JTov2 on Dec 3, 2010 12:08 PM EST reply actions  

Mike Mayock is the best there is. He was offered a job as a personell guy by a lot of teams, but he turned them down.

Contributing Writer - GangGreenNation.com
Marty Brodeur - Stealing Rangers' lunch money since 1990

by Ryan Alfieri on Dec 3, 2010 12:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Go Jets.......

Brady struggles against all man coverage. Anytime he has to make a second read and double clutch he is prone to make a mistake. Look fro the Jets to take away all the underneath stuff and force hime to go to his econd read. Go Jets

by j22c81 on Dec 3, 2010 1:23 PM EST reply actions  

The Deion Branch touchdown last week was Brady's third read

as long as the receivers can get open Brady will get it to one of them

Keep the faith!

by Marima on Dec 3, 2010 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Pats WRs as their RBs - dealing with YAC

Living in Boston for school, I get more than a healthy level of Pats radiation from friends and WEEI. One feature of the Pats offense that has gone overlooked and yet I hear talked about is how lethal they are on YAC (yard after carry). A healthy Welker is one of the best in the league in YAC, and their Hernandez/Branch/Gronkowski/Woodhead hydra usually has the Pats at the league’s best in YAC. Having Brady hit his wily WR/TEs on the slant, in the middle, etc., allows him to react to blitz packages and compensate for his now-crappy O line, poor footwork, and subpar RBs (although they’ve improved in recent weeks and will be much better w/ BJGR and Woodhead than in Week 2). The WR/TEs essentially become a secondary RB corps, scrambling after leapfrogging their opponents’ D line and blitzers. And these guys block well, to boot, creating good space if the opponent throws an uneven blitz package.

Right now, there’s no doubt that Welker’s back to 100%, Hernandez has improved, Brady-to-Branch has improved (he’s running more than long routes), and BJGR and Woodhead are performing as RBs better than the old men were earlier in the year.

I’m just concerned that even if Revis cuts off Branch as the vertical threat (my guess on the coverage) and Cro and the safeties guard against the large strike, and we blitz hard, Brady could continue to dink in quick 2 yd passes over the blitzers and have the receiver stretch that into 6 or 8 all day. Then, we’ll pull in the secondary, and then he’ll go deep. If we can pencil a +3 turnover ratio, I’d rest a little easier.

I’m still very confident (perhaps overconfident) that Rex and the Jets can pull this out, but Brady could still complicate things and he has more tools than he did when we last met.

by brother_rat on Dec 3, 2010 2:05 PM EST reply actions  

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