Monday Night Football Preview: Favre’s Dramatic Return To East Rutherford
Brett Favre has always hinted about wanting to play with Randy Moss --- his wish has now been granted. The timing couldn't be more perfect, as he travels back to NJ to face his former team on Monday Night Football. The 41-year-old veteran could definitely use some help, being that he's thrown just two touchdowns to six interceptions thus far this season.
The Jets are playing excellent football and clicking on all cylinders, coming off winning back-to-back-to-back divisional games, something they haven't done since 2000.
On top of that, they will have the following playmakers back and in action on Monday night: CB Darrelle Revis (the "real" 2009 DPOY), WR Santonio Holmes (Super Bowl XLIII MVP), and OLB Calvin Pace (Eli Manning's worst nightmare).
The game kicks off at 8:35 P.M. EST and will air on ESPN. Let's break it down.
Between the numbers
- Jets rank No. 1 in turnover margin (+8) while Vikings Rank No. 26 (-3).
- Jets offense ranks No. 1 in rushing yards (167.8 ypg) and No. 3 in rushing attempts (32.8/game) while Minnesota ranks No. 9 against the run (87.3 ypg).
Bye week
ESPN NY's Rich Cimini notes Favre is 7-1 coming off a bye week.
Minnesota Is coming off a bye week, which usually gives them a strategic advantage as they can watch more film and prepare. Then again, they are coached by Brad Childress, one of the worst gameday coaches in the NFL. Take that for what it's worth.
Road Woes
Minnesota has lost their last 5 road games dating back to last season. This is a team that plays well within the confines of their own dome, but struggles to win on the road.
Giveaways Vs. Takeaways
Jets league the league with a +8 turnover margin this season. Gang Green has forced nine turnovers (4 interceptions, 5 fumbles). Six of these said turnovers have come at New Meadowlands Stadium.
Minnesota ranks No. 28 in giveaways, as they've turned the ball over 8 times this season (6 interceptions, 2 fumbles).
Do the math.
Shut down AP
Peterson is a game-changer. He's the type of guy that can be the perfect counter to a blitz-heavy, aggressive, 3-4 defense like the one DC Mike Pettine employs. Jets must wrap him up early and not allow him to run free in the open field. I'd like to see them stack the box and hit him as soon as he's been handed the ball. They must play him physical.
If the Jets can keep Peterson at bay and put Minnesota in strictly passing downs shifting the pressure onto Favre, I like their chances.
QB Comparison:
Let the numbers do the talking -- Sanchez ranks No.4 in NFL with a prolific passer rating of 105.3, while Favre ranks No. 28, at 60.4.
"Sophomore Slump"
QB Mark Sanchez is proving the doubters wrong with a phenomenal TD/INT ratio of 8:0. He's making good pre-snap reads, has been much more accurate with his throws, and he's making smart decisions with the football.
All we ask of him is to be a game manager. He is currently doing just that, and a little bit more.
On Offense
I believe Schotty will return to the ground-and-pound, running to setup the pass. We will always be a ball control team, looking to control the clock and the tempo of the game. With the acquisition of WR Randy Moss, Minnesota has now become the oldest team in the NFL (in terms of age). Jets' gameplan will be to keep the Vikings' veteran defensive unit on the field, wearing them down in the second half so RB Shonn Greene can trample them.
For the first time that I can ever remember, the Jets have a plethora of targets to attack opposing defenses. This will help keep defenses honest and open it up for our running game. And that Tomlinson guy, well he's pretty good, rushing 56 times for 341 yards and 3 TDs this season.
With Holmes now in the lineup, we now have two legitimate vertical threats to stretch opposing defenses. Our receiving corps is now comprised of Edwards-Holmes-Cotchery, all of which are forces to be reckoned with on the receiving end. Coupled with TE Dustin Keller, this makes it extremely tough for opposing defenses to defend against and will allow Braylon Edwards to see a lot more single coverage and open it up for him over the top.
I love the balance the Jets have had on offense this year, rushing 32.8 times/game and passing 26.2 times/game.
On Defense
Jets rank No.3 against the run and I think bottling up RB Adrian Peterson is the key to victory in this game. If the Jets can hit him at the line, wrap him up, and not allow him to run free in the open field, I believe they can render Minnesota's offense one-dimensional with ‘gunslinger' Favre heaving the ball down the field and trying to carry his team.
I look for Jets to bring pressure early and often, against an offensive line which has struggled in pass protection and allowed six sacks in the first three games.
Pettine's blitz schemes will force the ‘gunslinger' to get the ball out of his hands quickly, which could be a problem for him. Furthermore, because of how well we disguise coverage and the deceptiveness that the 3-4/4-3 hybrid entails, if Favre chooses to make impulsive decisions, he could be looking at one of his famous multiple turnover games. If he makes it a habit of throwing into coverage, it will be a long night for the old man.
Prediction:
Jets 23, Vikings 17.
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Good Stuff.
Gang Green has forced nine turnovers (4 interceptions, 5 fumbles). Six of these said turnovers have come at New Meadowlands Stadium.
Huge.
Top 10 Reasons to believe Jets Win this game
1- True or not, Jenn Sterger and scandal’s impact on wife will be on Favre’s mind.
2- Jets have Home field advantage, 80,000 fans cheering J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets and N-U-T-S, Nuts, Nuts, Nuts ; which is similar to their normal cheer. Hard for Favre to block out because it is personal and on national TV. (see 1)
3- Favre has a hurt elbow and ankle. Showing age.
4- Has not practiced enough to have timing down with Moss. Less then a week with restrictions because of elbow.
5- May not be patient and hurry decisions, making bad ones trying new toy. May be intercepted on long throws which fall short.
6- Jets have return of 3 Pro-Bowl quality players for this game, who practiced for a full week.
7- Vikings lost to Miami, who Jets defeated
8- Vikings play so far this season 1-2
9- Jets are a strong team 3-1
10- Jets passer rating of 105 to Favre’s 65
We HAVE to...
Take over the running game and stop theirs. If we’re running the ball effectively we can pick them apart in the passing game. Same goes for the Vikings which is why we have to stuff their run game. We can’t allow AP to show any effectiveness, we have to eliminate him completely. It would be even better if he was ineffective and we caused a fumble or two. We can make them lose faith in the running game completely and put the game on Favre’s shoulders. If Favre continues to play like he has that’s a good thing but you never know with Favre, he can do anything on any given Sunday.
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Jets 23, Vikings 17
lol, after reading your breakdown, I was expecting you to say 43-6!
I’ll not disagree that we are the underdog. But I do think recent reports of our team’s death have been exaggerated, including this one.
I only hope that Jets coaches and players are half as supremely confident in the entire “breakdown” going your way as you are, maybe that will be their undoing? I mean, the only guy on our team that you even bother to mention by name is Peterson — except Favre and Moss, which you seem to bring up only to highlight them as weaknesses. Seriously, the Vikings have like 10 probowlers from last year on their team, and you don’t even bother to name more than three players.
It’s almost like you think its your game to win or lose as you choose, that we don’t even have a single player beside AD that present any significant impediment to you imposing your will on us? Maybe you didn’t intend that, but be completely neglecting to discuss what our players can do, it sure comes off that way.
Between Harvin’s hip (and head), Favre’s elbow, and Shiancoe’s hammy, what is it that he missed?
Your team just isn’t very good. You have one win against the Lions. You lost to a crappy Saints team. And you lost at home to the Dolphins, a team that we beat in their home. A team that we beat without 3 of our most dynamic players that will be playing tonite, in our home.
He was kind about the score, you should be happy about that. He could have been brutally honest and said something like 28-10.
Your team just isn’t very good
Point taken. Like I said, it’s clear that you & Matt both seem to think that what players we put on the field tonight & what they do is irrelevant to the final score. If you don’t screw up, we apparently have no chance. thanks for confirming that.
"If you don’t screw up, we apparently have no chance."
No one said that
Stop over-analyzing and putting words in our mouth.
And once again, we’re not going to scrutinize your entire roster, you guys can do that at daily norseman. Have fun.
Gang Green Nation Managing Editor --- covering all things NY Jets!
SB Nation(.Com) Contributing Writer
I've been arguing so much with Viking fans at DN so much I have like more comments there than I do here.
They don’t take kindly to opinions that don’t favor their team. In all honesty, they’re whiners.
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by MikeTheIntern on Oct 11, 2010 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Honestly, your players ARE irrelevant.
We have a better team. If we lose it will be because we beat ourselves.
"we apparently have no chance"
What do you expect? You want us to bow down and kiss the Vikings ass? News flash guy, your idiot Viking friends aren’t here to agree you, the homers aren’t around. Your team is 1-2 and the only team you beat is the 1-4 Lions. You lost to a team that we beat without 3 of our best players, you lost against a team who couldn’t beat one of the worst pass defenses in the league that was starting a 4th string QB. We are the favorites in nearly every aspect of the game. Favre has been playing like dirt, he’s hurt, you’re receivers are playing like dirt, dropping balls, balls flying off their hands, the only thing you have is a DECENT defense (Look at the teams you’ve played and try to tell me they are impressive offenses this year) and AP which Matt has given you credit for. Stop whining and taking everything as “you have no chance”. If you look at the history of each team and everything they’ve done this season the reality is if both teams continue playing the way they have you have little chance of winning. There is still hope but it isn’t a lot, it’s that simple, opinion aside it’s clear as day.
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by MikeTheIntern on Oct 11, 2010 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions
lol, this is a Jets' blog, do you think I'm going to sit and yammer on about your team all day?
No.
Do I worry about Harvin in the slot? Yes, a little bit.
Should I mention all of your Pro Bowlers, most of which are aged 30 or older? Maybe, actually probably not.
But I’m not going to, because we’ve discussed matchups all week and I dont want to beat a dead horse.
This is the official game preview, a summary of it, for Jets’ fans. We discussed the other matchups earlier this week.
Gang Green Nation Managing Editor --- covering all things NY Jets!
SB Nation(.Com) Contributing Writer
Well … yes. since you are playing us, and you presumably talk about the Jets the other 364 days … yes, I would think that you & your readers would at least care about who players for the Vikings and what challenges they might present. But I gues your readers need to be reminded who plays for your team the 365th day too?
By the way, there are two statements in your last paragraph that illustrate how little you know about our team (in addition to the fact that you haven’t named more than 3 players):
Pettine’s blitz schemes will force the ‘gunslinger’ to get the ball out of his hands quickly, which could be a problem for him. Furthermore, because of how well we disguise coverage and the deceptiveness that the 3-4/4-3 hybrid entails, if Favre chooses to make impulsive decisions, he could be looking at one of his famous multiple turnover games.
So … Favre’s biggest weaknesses as a QB are:
1) he isn’t good at getting rid of the ball quickly
2) he struggles with reading opposing defenses
Err … OK, whatever you say :)
You forgot "throwing into coverage"
: )
Gang Green Nation Managing Editor --- covering all things NY Jets!
SB Nation(.Com) Contributing Writer
Well I concede you may actually be right on the third one
This is a fear of mine about tonight, that Favre has so desperately wanted to play with Moss for so many years in order to try just that, and he was limited in practice since we signed Randy, that he will be itching to try that before they really have enough “chemistry” (knowing each other’s tendencies) to pull it off.
Although everyone (including me) pukes when Madden or Gruden says it, Favre actually does play like a kid in some ways. This is a situation he’s always wanted to be back in, from the day he lost Sterling Sharpe in the mid 90s, and he may be too impatient (like a kid) to wait to try it.
I go to the Vikings board for that.
You know more about them they we do. I read there, if my opinion is disliked… Not my fault.
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by MikeTheIntern on Oct 11, 2010 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions
Hey guys
Either way Football is played on the field by all 22 guys and not on the web. Jets may have an advantage but we got to remember that the vikings are a FOOTBALL TEAM. They won’t just rollover and let us pat their collective bellys. Both teams need to be sharp in order to win the game and the first one to blink is in danger of losing.
10n pro bowlers huh!
Yeah he did forget a name, how bout paper champions?
Good analysis Matt
Rec’d, and like Crack said in an earlier post it’s all about the trenches. Gotta impose our will.
it’ll also be airing on my9 for the ny area if ya don’t have espn
btw heres a fun fact: we are 3-0 this season when i wear my cotch jersey i think its safe to say ill b wearing it
Gang green nation!
Now lets go get a F#@ing snack!
Your record is better then mine.
Only 1-1 with my Cotch jersey, 2-0 with my Keller jersey with touchdowns in both games.
This is more of a trap game then the Bills.
The Bills are a horrible team playing down to their expectations, the Vikes played some tough teams and while I don’t think they are nearly as good as last year are still underachieving. Also, as has been noted before we really don’t have alot to gain here and have just come off of half our division games, which are usually our most taxing.
I agree, I don’t think people are giving the Vikings enough respect. They have some game winners all over the field, has Favre struggled? absolutely….am I going to write him off, hell no. He can win a game all by himself, even at 41 or whatever he is now. Same with AP, same with Harvin, Shiancoe etc etc. The D is talented and they can cause some problems and if Sanchez doesn’t play smart, they can force some TO’s and put us in a hole. It’s going to be a tough game, I have no doubt about that. Vikings haven’t played up to their potential this year, not even close. They have a lot of talent though.
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by David_Wyatt on Oct 11, 2010 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
I agree
I think they have good players on paper but they haven’t showed their talent yet. They’ve been unimpressive and if it keeps up I don’t see how they can beat us. They can unleash some hell though, this is still the same team that made it to the AFC Championship game so they can possibly find their potential but I’m not betting on that. Favre is 41 and he may just be over the hill. Not to mention his ankle and throwing arm are hurting. I’m just not sold that they can beat us. Viking fans have them winning 41-9. They’re delusional. I know they have talent but they are really out of this world over there.
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by MikeTheIntern on Oct 11, 2010 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah...
I hope tonight isn’t the night they magically put it all back together. Plus… I hate playing a team that SHOULD be a contender and isn’t. I also hope our team doesn’t start believing in their own hype.
If we play like we’ve played for the last three games, short of the Vikings coming out on longships, we’ve got this. However… I’m waiting for the turnover pendulum to swing back the other way.
I don’t think this is a trap game for the Jets. They’ll be fired up to face Favre, and it’s a home game on Monday night football, with the whole nation watching. Add to that the return of Pace and Revis, with the debut of Holmes, and this team is going to be sky high. I’m going 24-10 Jets, and that’s because I respect the Vikings. They would beat a lesser team by 40.
Buster Posey: Let's enjoy him before he goes to the Yankees.
by rxmeister on Oct 11, 2010 4:14 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
I'm hoping...
They really want to redeem the opening game MNF loss too. I think that will be a positive driving force.
23-17 is way tooo close. I’ll bet anything Favre throws far too many floaters in Randy Moss’ direction. 3-4 INT night easy. Especially if the Jets shut down the Run.
After the 2nd Period of Opening Night "Best Period of the year" DevonPSU
Contributor to Lighthouse Hockey not sure if I'm the Sniper or the Enforcer.
In a press conference today
He’s actually said that he knows he has to get Moss the ball. He said in two weeks if Moss only has 7 or 8 catches it would be a disappointment to the fans and he’ll be looking to get Moss the ball. He then joked and said “If there is 11 guys on him I may throw it up and see who comes down with. (slight laughter) I’m just joking guys, maybe if there is 10 guys around him I’ll put it in the air.” I want to pick him 5 times tonight so bad.
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by MikeTheIntern on Oct 11, 2010 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions
First play by Vikings Offense. . .
Play action deep pass to Moss. You know it’s coming I just hope Revis is ready and I don’t want to hear anymore excuses from him if he gets beat. I think Moss is right in saying that he is no getting any respect from Darrelle. He is still a great player and he should be respected like that.
by chrebetsthebet on Oct 11, 2010 5:21 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
Totally Agree, Chrebet.
I’ve been playing it out in my head, also. We’re going to have to hold our breaths, because they’re going to go for it early.
Either play action, or just a straight deep post route to Moss.
Gang Green Nation Managing Editor --- covering all things NY Jets!
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The Jets could do it too.
And throw a deep post or flag corner route to Holmes, just maybe to throw them off and make them worry about him. I mean, it’s very unlikely that they do, but I probably would, in my Madden-guided mind.
by bobdolethesnapplelady on Oct 11, 2010 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Matt but then let’s think how much time will Favre have? I would guess that Ryan and Pettine are going to be more aggressive than normal, due to Favre’s tendencies to make mistakes. Pace opens up a lot more blitz schemes, and don’t forget we also have Pryce and now JT will go back to coming in on passing downs.
by chrebetsthebet on Oct 11, 2010 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions
Wear the Grudge Like a Crown
Clutch it like a cornerstone, otherwise it all comes down.
The key I like the most in this game
We got Revis, and damn he’s pretty fucking good
(315) SF Giants and NY Jets
Giants baseball: TORTURE
...and the home of the... JETS!
by GiantsfaninNY55 on Oct 11, 2010 6:13 PM EDT reply actions

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