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Top 5 Reasons Why The New York Jets Will Win The Wild Card Round

The New York Jets have squeaked into the playoffs with a sound 37-0 trouncing of the Cincinnati Bengals in what is most likely the last football game in the history of Giants Stadium. The Jets tumultuous season has lead many to speculate that this team is "one and done" in this years playoff rounds.

Most do not have the Jets getting past their first round opponent, the Cincinnati Bengals. The current spread on the game is Cincinnati by 2.5…not too bad actually, when you consider that home team automatically gets three.

None-the-less it is a slight on the Jets chances.

Call me a crazy Jets fan but I can give you 5 good reasons why the Jets will beat not only the spread but the Bengals as well.

Star-divide

The Mental Game

Argue all you want about the Bengals having virtually nothing to play for in the regular-season finale, but getting knocked around to the tune of 37-0 is bound to leave some devastating mental wounds. I don’t care what anyone says, no team lays down for a beating like that on purpose. The Bengals failed to establish any part of their game and nearly lost their top receiver Chad Ochocinco in the pre-game warm ups. Most worrisome is Carson Palmer who just looked awful for 3 quarters. Just a few weeks removed from the death of receiver Chris Henry, this team entered the final season game already sputtering and emotionally spent. Now add to that the pressure of righting this ship against a team that has just handed you your collective asses and you have a recipe for disaster all laid out. Many a team have crumbled under far less pressure.

A Horrible Record Outside The AFC North

While the Bengals went 6-0 in the AFC North, they managed a pitiful 1-5 record against the rest of the conference. The Bengals can’t seem to get out of their own way when it comes to games against teams not in the AFC North. One good thing to note, that one win outside of their division? It happened in week 2 against the Green Bay Packers.

The Mark Sanchez Mystery Show

The Bengals got huge doses of the Jets defense and the running game, but Mark Sanchez and the passing game remained a bit of a mystery for the most part. The lack of a significant passing game in the last match-up will force Cincinnati to rely heavily on game film. Lets face it, after a season of full on rookieness from Sanchez…there won’t be much there to see either. Should the rookie actually have a decent game on Saturday, the Bengals could find their pass defense befuddled. Another note worthy point, Brad Smith. He has proven to have the ability to be rather lethal out of the Wildcat as a runner and you can’t discount his strong arm.

Too Many Injuries

DT Pat Sims broke his forearm, landing him on injured reserve. Receiver Chad Ochocinco, safety Chris Crocker and defensive lineman Domata Peko all said they will be ready to play in Saturday’s playoff game but you have to question how ready any of these guys will be facing the leagues number 1 defense and arguably the best offensive line in the game. A hobbled Ochocinco against a dominant Darrelle Revis does not bode well for Cincinnati. The Bengal’s defensive line has been plagued by injuries which is a big concern and has really shown the last three weeks.

New York’s Overwhelming Run Offense

The Jets come into the game with the leagues best rushing offense, averaging a solid 172.2  yards per game on the ground. While it is true that the Bengals have the fourth best overall defense (7th against the run) in the league this year, I think the combination of Thomas Jones, Shonn Greene, Tony Richardson, Danny Woodhead and wide receiver Brad Smith may be too much for them to handle. Each had a YPC (yards per carry) average of over 4.2, with Shonn Greene blasting opposing run defenses to the tune of 5 YPC. Brad Smith, who showed some real razzle / dazzle in the last match up, had 207 yards on 18 carry’s with a whopping 11.5 YPC this season. The Jets offensive line will also be a factor here. Should the front 5 dominate physically, the Bengals could be in for a long day of grounding and pounding.


Team Comparisons

 

Xander Diaz is Editor-In-Chief for AFCBeast.com.

Poll
Will The Jets Win The Wild Card Round?
Absolutely! They call'em the 'Bungles' for a reason.
392 votes
No Way! The real Bengals will show up and spit them out.
75 votes

467 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 11 comments |

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Good post. Seems familiar though…

GGN Staff Writer
www.ganggreennation.com

by Matt Birch on Jan 6, 2010 1:51 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I have a brazen Bengal prediction for you guys!

It will be a good game and one that either team can win or lose. Whoever executes better that day will take it. The one thing that all of those numbers don’t tell you is that the Bengals have a lot of grit and pride. If you win you will have to beat the best the have. They didn’t even try last Sunday. They will this weekend. I am looking forward to the game. Though frankly I don’t put a lot of stock in them many of the pundits think the Bengals can pull it off. I think they can too but only if they play their best and we usually do when our backs are against the wall. We only lost 2 games in a row once and that was to two very good teams while dealing with the grief of losing a team mate. Don’t count us out. If you win it will not be easy.

" My enemy said "Love your enemy". I obeyed and loved myself." Gibran

by JUNGLEJOHN on Jan 6, 2010 2:22 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Agreed their, but for as much grit and pride you guys have we have just as much, and being told we don’t belong in the play-offs is only going to increase that, many players have been talking about the lack of respect this week, and some media saying we will going home after this week, so their is a lot of pride at stake for both teams. If we want to win, we are going to have to beat the best of the Bengals, but if you want to win then you are going to have to beat the best we have to offer. Like Rex said at the start of the year:

“The message to the rest of the league, is the Jets are coming, and were going to give you everything we got, and that’s going to be, I think, more than you can handle”

We will see if it is too much on Saturday. It’s going to be a great game and may the better team win.

Writer/Assistant editor
Eternal optimist
New York Jets
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Jan 6, 2010 2:28 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I wish we had edit buttons on here

Writer/Assistant editor
Eternal optimist
New York Jets
Gang Green Nation
www.ganggreennation.com

by David_Wyatt on Jan 6, 2010 2:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think the fact that they did not try last Sunday shows a little less pride.

by bm01bath on Jan 6, 2010 2:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I guess all of this will be answered on Saturday

My thought is that it is hard to determine just how much you want to let someone kick your ass. We were laying down. Ryan knew we were laying down. He went for it on 4th down and challenged a spot while up 30 or so in the last quarter. Doing that is the only thing I hear the Bengals fans getting mad about. I don’t think the players appreciated it either. I like Ryan. I think he will be a good coach and is a good guy but that was a little over the top and I would expect a little payback this Saturday. We are the division champs for a reason and you guys backed into the playoffs for a reason. Two laydown wins does not make you better than the team that was below 500 prior to them. Don’t expect an easy win. Expect a letdown loss. Welcome to the Jungle.

" My enemy said "Love your enemy". I obeyed and loved myself." Gibran

by JUNGLEJOHN on Jan 7, 2010 10:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Green Bay is in the NFC and the one win in the AFC out of their division was Kansas City.

by bm01bath on Jan 6, 2010 2:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Good catch! Thanks for the correction. :)

Xander is Editor-In-Chief for AFCBeast.com - The Best Damn Jets Fan Site Ever!

by Xander Diaz on Jan 6, 2010 3:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No problem sir.

by bm01bath on Jan 6, 2010 3:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

In thinking we pitch another shut-out, or at least hold them under 10.

We’re more vulnerable to offenses that can dink and dunk or spread us out a get rid of the ball quickly. To my admittedly limited knowledge of Cincy , they seem more of a power-run game that tries to hit for the big play in the passing game. This style plays into our hands. We can load up on the run and force 3rd and longs all day abd tee off on the immobile Palmer. I think our D will dictate in this one, which is bad news for Cincy.

by Crackback on Jan 6, 2010 10:33 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Like you said you have limitied knowledge of the Bengals

We can when we need to turn on a"dink and dunk" passing offense and actually quite a powerful over all passing attack that we don’t scheme in unless we need it. I will admit it is a bit inconsistent. Palmer can go 3 and out 2-3 possessions and then drive 90 yards completing 8 of 9 to 5 different receivers. We go from pedestrian to unstoppable in a new york minute. Frankly I think you are in for a big surprise Saturday and I think that that is exactly the plan. We will see Saturday. You guys do have a team that is better than their record and I do respect them. Hey the Bengals have a very good team that you did not see Saturday. That was the plan.. You still may win as you are good as well. The only reason I think we can pull it off is home field advantage. Win or lose we have had a great year and have performed beyond my expectations. A win Saturday would be gravy.

" My enemy said "Love your enemy". I obeyed and loved myself." Gibran

by JUNGLEJOHN on Jan 7, 2010 11:37 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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