New York Jets Pass Offense vs. San Diego Chargers Pass Defense
The Jets have played two consecutive excellent offensive games entering the Divisional round. Gang Green had its way with the Bengals twice, particularly in the trenches. In the Wild Card round, the offensive line helped the Jets run with such authority that play action left guys wide open because the Bengals sold out on the run.
Also helping matters was the pinpoint accuracy and sound decision making of Mark Sanchez. How good was he? I was exchanging e-mails last week with SNY's Michael Salfino. He had an observation.
In case you haven't noticed, only one pass from Sanchez did not go into or through the hands of a Jets receiver, the pass batted at the line, which was the proper read and would have been right on target to a wide-open Edwards. So, Sanchez did not make one bad read (except that goal-line pass to Cotchery, but I don't want to hurt my own argument) and could reasonably have been 15-for-15 for about 260 yards and two TDs. It's strange to say, but considering the weather and the expectations, it really is a historically good performance that's sort of given short shrift, IMO. How many plus 139 QB rating road games have there been in NFL history?
Think about that. Sanchez pretty much played a perfect game. I know you can go overboard with talking about appearances. However, there was a noticable difference in Sanchez's demeanor from the guy who looked overwhelmed in the middle of the regular season and beyond. He looked like the guy who was having fun the first three weeks. The game seemed to slow down for him. His USC experience served him well. Mark played on a big stage every week in college. He's comfortable playing in the spotlight. If Mark makes smart decisions and good throws like he did last week, the Jets can go far.
The Chargers will probably try to throw the kitchen sink at Sanchez on obvious passing downs. I feel good about the Jets' chances of keeping him clean even so. They have done a great job of that lately. The Chargers don't have a great pass rush. Shawne Merriman is back in their lineup after missing most of last season, but he only had 4 sacks. He's not playing at his preinjury level. Shaun Phillips has become the most important player for San Diego's pass rush. He had 7 sacks during the regular season. Phillips will line up a lot against D'Brickashaw Ferguson, which is certainly a good thing for the Jets.
San Diego does have a couple of decent cover corners, Quentin Jammer and Antonio Cromartie. Cromartie will likely line up against Braylon Edwards. Cromartie is similar to Edwards. He's very athletic. He makes incredible plays. He also in many cases fails to do the routine things. I could see Braylon making a game changing play or two in this one. Jammer will probably line up against Jerricho Cotchery. It's a tough matchup. The Jets have made it a point to get it to Cotchery so expect some quick slants and receiver screens.
Dustin Keller might have a more difficult time this week than he did against the Bengals. San Diego has some good cover linebackers and safeties. Brandon Siler is a very good cover guy at linebacker. He splits snaps with Tim Dobbins, who isn't as productive, but Siler will probably be in for passing downs. Eric Weddle at safety is solid. Phillips is also pretty good.
There are no obvious edges for receivers, but there's potential there for another good passing game if Sanchez is as on target as he was last week.
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Yes, a Chargers fan here
But I wanted to bring up a couple points:
- In addition to Shaun Phillips 7 sacks, he also lead the league this year in forced fumbles with 7 and is a very disruptive linebacker. Whenever he goes after the QB, you’ll see he has an arm up as he’s getting ready to bring his arm down on the ball to strip it out of the QB’s hand.
- Shawne Merriman has definitely been a shell of his former self this year. But that’s to be expected coming off major knee surgery and being out an entire season. Despite that, and rather curiously, he’s still commanded double blockers from opposing teams and that opens up lanes for other defenders to get past the line. That’s one of the reasons Phillips (the other “Shaun”) has had as good a year as he has had. When Merriman isn’t in the lineup, the entire pass rush suffers, because the double-teaming shifts to Phillips, he just has that kind of impact on the team. Merriman is coming off 3 weeks of rest to heal his plantar fasciitis, so it remains to be seen just how good he can play again. If the Jets can handle Merriman with just one blocker, that will certainly make things easier for protecting Sanchez.
- While it may not be a great pass rush, it certainly is a solid pass rush. The Chargers have found a way to amass 3 more sacks and 3 more forced fumbles this year than the Jets. So don’t be surprised if there is some penetration and disruption in the backfield.
I know the Jets have a solid O-line, I’m not delusional thinking the Chargers will get 10 sacks and 7 interceptions in this game. Sanchez has really been looking much better in the last few weeks and was actually impressive-looking last week against the Bengals. We all can, and have, analyzed this game to death. Not much else to do now but sit back and watch the three games that come before the game we all want to watch.
What worries me most is your corners.
I think if Edwards doesn’t have early success he will be a non-factor. If he’s a non-factor, Keller won’t have much room to operate and we can’t trust Sanchez to stick into tight coverage.
But you’re right. I can see this game going any/every which way at this point. I just hope its a good one if we lose. Of course i’d be thrilled if we somehow blew you guys out, but I think we all can agree that thats least likely scenario.
The three defensive linemen rushing on pass plays shouldn’t cause Sanchez too much trouble, but while the Chargers will almost always send at least one linebacker or defensive back to go along with their down linemen, it’s when the team sends two that Sanchez could struggle. The Jets’ offense is currently the worst in the league when opposing defenses rush five; meanwhile, the Chargers rush five players better than 36 percent of the time, well above the league average of just under 24 percent. Rushing five can limit Sanchez’s checkdowns, with more backs and tight ends required to block, and force him into mistakes downfield.
Didn’t football outsiders also say that we would find it difficult running against the Bengals with Petko back in the line-up. I take everything they say with a pinch of salt, they are number crunchers, if the game was played on their computers it would be straight forward.
Writer/Assistant editor
Eternal optimist
New York Jets
Gang Green Nation
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No doubt about that
And no stat nor analysis should be taken to gospel, it should all just be tools used to draw conclusions. I just posted it because it was in line with this story and was just an additional analysis presented by FO.
Also, the part I quoted left a lot of wiggle room for FO, lots of “coulds” in there. But it does have some value saying, “here’s what San Diego likes to do, and conversely, it’s where the Jets have struggled this season.” As with any prediction or analysis, it could all be thrown out the window come tomorrow as either the Chargers could abandon the five-man rush, or the Jets plug up all the holes. This is why they play the game and what makes it exciting, we analyze it to death, and everyone can still be proven wrong.
The offense is much different now than its been over the course of the season.
Although we’ve been run-oriented, we’ve taken that model to the extreme of late (and with success). We often run on 2nd and 3rd and long these days. Sanchez’s reads have also been simplified and he’s rolling out with more frequency, making it more difficult to blitz him. Our running game, with the emergence of Greene, is punishing. I don’t think the Chargers will be blitzing too often against our run-on-third-down offense and our moving pockets will limit its success if you do.
To blow us out you have to control our run-game. Our willingness to run on 3rd down forces the play action to be honored; couple that with Sanchez rolling and moving the pocket, blitzing is largely ineffective.
The Chargers
Firstly their corners dont switch sides, so Cro will lineup on whoever is on his side its pretty simple. And Phillips doesnt rush against left tackles usually.

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