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Teams That May be Feeling the Pressure Going into Divisionals Weekend

I've compiled a list of what each team has at stake going into this weekend's round of Divisional Playoffs. This post explores the angle of teams that may "feel the heat" and succumb to a letdown performance in their game.

It should be noted, being that they are the #1 and #2 seeds in their respective conferences:
Indy, San Diego, New Orleans, and Minnesota are all coming off the bye week while others played in WildCard games last weekend.


Is there any chance we could see a couple of those teams feeling the effects of the layoff and coming out rusty? Or will they use it to practice and draw up crafty winning drives to get them early leads out of the gate?

Join me after the bump, as we break down exactly what each NFL team has to lose in this weekend's slate of Divisional games..... (and who has the benefit of having NOTHING to lose...)

Star-divide

Dallas- With all the talent they've had this decade, it's safe to say that they and the Redskins have been the two biggest disappointments over the last ten years regarding NFL teams with high payrolls. Both have been front-office nightmares. On Saturday they finally won their first playoff game since 1996, and Wade Phillips also got his first career playoff win as a head coach (he was previously 0-4 w/ Broncos, Bills, and Cowboys).

This team has always been a favorite for "front-runners" and "fair-weather fans." Analysts are once again drinking the Dallas kool-aid, as some even went as far as to say that the winner of last week's Philly/Dallas game would win the Super Bowl. The defense has been playing exceptional since November, and they are the only team remaining in the NFC that plays smash-mouth football, which gives them an advantage over these other spread-based passing attacks.

Saints/Colts - Both had 12-0 starts, and were the media darlings this season as the press had them on ‘undefeated watch' all season. Both of them are currently listed as favorites to win their respective conferences (oddsmakers have the Colts at even money to win AFC and Saints slightly more than even money to win NFC [+125]).

Let's face it. with the explosive offenses these two employ, if either should not make the Super Bowl, it'd be a huge disappointment. The Saints offense is prolific and ranks #1 in yards/game AND points/game. The colts rank #6 and #9 in those categories, but they have Peyton Manning -- the AP Most Valuable Player. It should be noted however that the stats for Indy are skewed as:  A) they rested offensive players in weeks 16 and 17 and B) the colts face much tough defenses in the AFC, while the Saints division has found them in many "track meets" this season.

San Diego-This team was picked pre-season by both analysts and also sharps in Vegas to win the Super Bowl, and the Bolts now come into the playoffs riding the most momentum of any team.  After their obligatory slow start/September struggles, they come into the playoffs rested on an eleven game win streak. The Chargers need to make a postseason run badly, or Norv Tuner's team will soon be compared to the Bills' teams of the ‘90's, as they have made the playoffs five times in the last six years, but have no super bowl appearances to show for it.

They also face the issue of a banged-up LT. The NFL is changing, and the old-school, workhorse guys that used to take 25+ carries a game now tend to have short careers. The game is moving towards splitting carries with two or even three backs. LT unfortunately, is one of the old-school backs, and in three of his first six years as a RB, he received 400+ touches in a season. He's lost a couple of steps, and even though his contract stipulates him being in SD till 2011, his effectiveness and future as a Bolt is uncertain. Being a workhorse takes its toll.

Vincent Jackson also becomes a restricted free agent in 2010, and it is possible he won't be there next season as he has complained about being underpaid. Lastly, Gates is also a free agent in 2011,

Minny- This one is simple -- Favre and Childress. Childress was on the hot seat as it is over the last couple of seasons for his inability to make noise in the postseason --- although he did just receive a big extension this year back in November.  Still, over the years this team has fielded one of the top defenses, and also one of the best power-rushing attacks with nothing to show for it.

While Favre is contractually-bound to one more year, Jets fans know all too well that anything is possible in the offseason with this drama queen. There is already talk from the Eagles homers of shipping McNabb to Minnesota in the offseason if Brett chooses to retire.

Arizona - They are the defending NFC Champs. Also, Kurt Warner is aging, and will likely retire after his contract runs out next season as he turns 40 years old. And behind him, Leinart has certainly not been the star everyone expected him to be.

There is a also a strong possibility that Boldin will be traded in the offseason. With his injury this year the Cardinals have bumped-up Early Doucet and are learning to play without him. Boldin's contract runs out in 2010, but he has continually complained about the lack of money he is currently paid, and has entertained the idea of being traded since last year's Super Bowl ended.

That Leaves the Jets and the Ravens. The #5 and #6 seeds that "shouldn't even be here", yet both won their WildCard games on the road in tough environments last week.

It's safe to say, that both teams are "freerolling." While the sky is the limit for both, it's certainly fair to say both teams are happy with how their seasons have turned out thus far.

The teams have a lot of similarities between them. They are the only two remaining teams (besides Dallas) that play smash-mouth football, and the Ravens are obviously Rex's old squad. Both teams field veteran defenses, but  also are both young at QB/RB.

Nothing to lose for these two teams --- A good feeling to have. Similar to the feeling the '07 Giants had when they made their run. With my theory, being that neither of these two teams have any pressure to overcome, we will find at least one of them playing in the AFC Championship game.

Feel free to add thoughts/comments. These are just off the top of my head, I'm sure you all can think of plenty more!

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San Diego definitely has the most pressure.

One and done against a rookie coach and QB will cause mass suicides from the Charger faithful. The week off and winning streak might actually work against them. Being out of sync and under pressure could prove to be a bad mix.

by Crackback on Jan 12, 2010 1:03 AM EST reply actions  

I hope so!

I have tickets to the game and would hate to see the Jets lose the first time I see them live!

by cult hero on Jan 12, 2010 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Awesome. Should be a good game win or lose.

Hope we pull it out. I think we have a good shot.

by Crackback on Jan 12, 2010 4:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I know this is a little off topic but it is regarding the bit about Arizona, do you think that Seattle with Carroll in charge, may make a run at Leinhart, with the belief that he can turn him around?

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by David_Wyatt on Jan 12, 2010 1:10 AM EST reply actions  

Have the reports about Warner retiring been substantiated?

I can’t imagine Leinart leaving a system he knows and that sick receiving core if he knows its his show.

by Crackback on Jan 12, 2010 1:14 AM EST up reply actions  

Don’t think they have been, not really heard much about it to be honest, but if he carries on playing the way he did on Sunday, why not continue for another year.

Writer/Assistant editor
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New York Jets
Gang Green Nation
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by David_Wyatt on Jan 12, 2010 1:16 AM EST up reply actions  

From what I read, he said he’s going to decide after the season is over. No one really knows.

Fact is, he has taken plenty of hits over the years and has a history of concussions, so I’m sure that will factor into his decision. Even if he does return for 2010, that will surely be his last season (as his contract runs out).

Arizona sure as hell hopes Warner will return for 2010., continue to tutor Leinart and show him the ropes - because in 2011 the Cards have to pay Matty ‘starter money’ (14 MILL). Crazy

GGN Staff Writer
www.ganggreennation.com

by Matt Birch on Jan 12, 2010 1:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Going to be tough to get someone to eat his contract. Starting in 2011, Leinart gets ‘starter money’ and will be making $14 Million+ a year.

It is possible though. Seattle certainly gave Petey way more money then he deserved. And with Hasselbeck aging/ailing…. and a Seneca Wallace behind him who will never be a starter — it makes you think.

Interesting thought though.

GGN Staff Writer
www.ganggreennation.com

by Matt Birch on Jan 12, 2010 1:23 AM EST up reply actions  

(this was a response to david’s Leinart to seattle post above)

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by Matt Birch on Jan 12, 2010 1:24 AM EST up reply actions  

That is a lot of money, they might as well draft their own this year, IMO Sam Bradford and especially Jimmy Clausen are better and have more potential. Not sure either could start straight away though. They do need to get a new QB, even when Hasselbeck was healthy he was ineffective .

Writer/Assistant editor
Eternal optimist
New York Jets
Gang Green Nation
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by David_Wyatt on Jan 12, 2010 1:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah because it is unheard of

to have a rookie QB come in and start away and take the team to the divisional round of the playoffs. lol Just messing with you David, just love typing that out.

by Togaman7 on Jan 12, 2010 9:51 AM EST up reply actions  

I also agree with your Jets assessment, if we lose on Sunday, of course I will be disappointed, but it won’t haunt me or anything, it won’t be like the 2004 loss to the Steelers. Being perfectly honest, and I said this from the start, I thought we were going to be 8-8, on the fringe with a great base for the future, and I would of been happy with that. Now we are 9-7, won the wild card round and going into the divisional round. The ceiling for this team is astronomically high, so will be disappointed and frustrated Sunday night if we lose, but Monday morning, will be the time to sit down and look at the big picture. Hopefully that doesn’t happen, and we can ride this season for a long time, prove the critics wrong and either get another shot at those Colts or get to close the stadium out with a Championship game, but we are getting into mid January now, and we still have football games to talk about, I’m delighted.

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New York Jets
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by David_Wyatt on Jan 12, 2010 1:49 AM EST reply actions  

I’d love another shot at the Colts. Although, if we ended up playing the Ravens that would be: 1. A very interesting storyline for Rex Ryan and 2. a hell of a way to send Giants’ Stadium off.

by cult hero on Jan 12, 2010 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Interesting thought on Leinart, I think Arizona would not want to trade him within the division unless they got a Kings Ransom back. Of course nothing Leinart has done has made anyone in their right mind think he is worth it.

On to the post itself, I think the Colts have the most pressure cause they made it clear that Winning the Super Bowl was the only thing that was important and if they dont win it, they dont even get the distinction of a perfect regular season that the Pats stand by (With a Moronic Banner they put up to honor it, might I add.)

The Jets have gotta come out on Sunday and set a tone, if they come out of the gates like they did in Cincy with those two Special Teams gaffes and good field position for the oppostion, its gonna be a long day on Sunday. Gotta be strong early and make sure the Chargers know they are in for a major fight for the final spot in Championship Weekend.

Matthew Falkenbury

by Jetsmets321 on Jan 12, 2010 2:40 AM EST reply actions  

good point on the slow start

I think the Chargers would capitalize on that more than the bengals could. Not saying the Jet’s can’t handle a little adversity, but hell why put ourselves in that position.

by Togaman7 on Jan 12, 2010 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

I like to be confident in the Jets but this game worries me a little. The chargers receivers are really big. I don’t think Revis and Shepperd have faced receivers that big yet. Revis likes to get physical with his receivers and Jackson is too big to do that too. Also, sproles and tomlinson will be running screens all day, and with scott and harris nursing sore ankles not sure they will get to them in time. I don’t have the stats but I read that the last time Rivers played a Rex Ryan D he ripped them apart. So we have to beware!

by chrebetsthebet on Jan 12, 2010 5:46 AM EST reply actions  

Found the stats-Rivers vs. Rex D

Last time they played the Ravens with Rex as the D coordinator was 2007.

25-35 for 249 yds., 71.4% comp., 3 TD 0 INT, 119 QB rating

YIKES!

by chrebetsthebet on Jan 12, 2010 5:50 AM EST reply actions  

Found the stats-Rivers vs. Rex D

The jets have better corners then that team

by BIG OH!!!!! on Jan 12, 2010 9:07 AM EST up reply actions  

And frankly, the stats from one game mean nada.

You have to have a few for the stats to be even remotely relevant.

by cult hero on Jan 12, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Stats?

The stats for the Ravens in Foxboro were abyssmal, yet that’s now in the past. It’ll be an uphill battle, but it’s anybody’s game at this point.

Control the ball and minimize the errors, and with a little luck the game will remain close and winnable.

Anybody get a laugh when Harbaugh says that even though his QBs rating was 10, he was held back and could throw for over 300 years this week if he had to. Kool-aid, anyone?

by oldskooljet on Jan 12, 2010 10:33 PM EST reply actions  

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