Week 13 Rooting Guide
by John B on Dec 5, 2009 9:38 AM EST
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PrintMiami over New England: This one has generated a lot of discussion on the site. The reasoning is simple. A Miami win pulls the Jets within a game of the division lead. The Jets lose every conceivable tiebreaker scenario so they would need the Pats to lose twice in the last four to Carolina, Buffalo, Jacksonville, and Houston. Likely? No, but possible. I get that the Jets are battling the Dolphins for the Wild Card, but Miami is going to lose at least one of its last four and probably more. They have a tough finish playing Jacksonville, Tennessee, Houston, and Pittsburgh. Remember, we only need the Dolphins to lose once to have 7 losses and fall behind the Jets. That eliminates them. Nobody's getting in at 9-7.
Indianapolis over Tennessee: For two reasons. First, the Jets want the Colts to have home field clinched and nothing to play for by Week 16 so maybe they'll take their foot off the pedal and rest their starters for the game against the Jets. That's probably the only realistic way the Jets leave Indy with a win. Also, even though the Jets have the same record as the Titans and a head to head win, they want Tennessee to lose to knock them out of contention. It's one less team to deal with and eliminates the possibility of them winning some funky multi team tiebreaker.
Kansas City over Denver: Although the Broncos are 7-4, they're catchable. They have been in free fall lately. Their only win in the past five games was against a team in an even greater free fall, the Giants.
Oakland over Pittsburgh: At 6-5, the Steelers are going to be a problem. I feel like they're going to turn it on over the last month of the season. This one looks like a long shot. It could be a devastating loss if the Raiders play like they did against the Bengals and Eagles.
Green Bay over Baltimore: Out of conference opponent against a team half a game up in the Wild Card race.
Houston over Jacksonville: It hurts to say this considering how nice the Jaguars fans were over here a few weeks back. However, the Jags have a half game lead over the Jets and a head to head victory. The Texans are also competing for a Playoff spot, but they're a half game behind the Jets with a head to head loss. A Houston win does far less damage.
Detroit over Cincinnati: Would help the Colts come closer to wrapping up home field advantage.
Cleveland over San Diego: Would help the Colts come closer to wrapping up home field advantage. Also could help save Mangini's job and let him trade the Jets Shaun Rogers in the offseason.
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Do ALL of these have to happen?
I can see a few of them happening…but not all of them.
2009 Dallas Cowboys: 10-6
2009 New York Jets: not 11-5 :(
2009-2010 Dallas Mavericks: 57-25
No
this is a wish list. too early for every game to have to fall our way. at the end of the day the most important thing is that we get to 10 wins. we’re just trying to draw up ways that other teams don’t get there and/or the teams that do get to 10 wins are the ones we have tiebreakers with.
Agree with all but one.
I think we want Cinci to win and have the 2 seed locked up when we play them in week 17 so they rest their starters. I think Indi will be 14-0 and already have homefield locked up.
I'm with Jerrad P
If Cinci is fighting w/Baltimore or Pittsburgh for their division we’re in a lot tougher spot
Also, as I previously mentioned, I concede the NE/MIA game based of difficulty of schedule.
The fun thing is looking at these teams schedules, they’re all playing each other over the next weeks. Should be fun!
I agree. A Cincy win helps us.
I also want the Colts to have a loss before they play us. I don’t want Peyton playing for an undefeated season, and i think a big game by Chris Johnson could help with that.
I basically agree with all the other picks on the list though.
Good Piece
Thanks John! Makes scoreboard watching easier tomorrow!
GGN Staff Writer
www.ganggreennation.com
hope this becomes a weekly thing
cant keep track of everything myself
J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets
Thank you John for the nice words again
I wa hated to root to Buffalo on Thursday night too. But business is business; specialy in december when you have chances to make the playoffs….
Life without knowledge is death in disguise
by Zoltan from Budapest on Dec 5, 2009 8:03 PM EST reply actions
I honestly think Pittsburgh is going to win out.
We need Denver to go into free fall. I also don’t think we have a good conference record. so if we’re at 10-6 with other teams we might still get the boot.
Titans
“It’s one less team to deal with and eliminates the possibility of them winning some funky multi team tiebreaker.”
We do not want to knock the Titans behind us. We WANT them involved in any tiebreakers — because we did not lose to Denver or SD the West is not a factor. ANY other multi-team tiebreaker becomes beneficial to have Tenn or Houston involved, such as if Jaguars are 10-6. You apply the division tiebreaker first, which means Jaguars are knocked out by Tenn, then the Jets get in over Tenn. If Tenn loses one more game, Jacksonville beats us out. We want Tenn to win out, it only helps us, and Indy will have the #1 seed anyway, and a loss to eliminated the 19-0 possibility.
There is no other multi-team tiebreaker involving Tennessee that could knock us out. Only helps us.
also
The Cincy game is huge not just for the Colts #1 seed, but if they lose this game they would only need one more loss to be 10-5 going into the last game (at Minn and at SD also). We can allow the Steelers to ‘turn it on’ all they want, take the division, and we would be able to take out Cincy in week 17.
The Bengals losing makes the Steelers game that much less important.
in fact
I am rooting for the Steelers. We can’t beat them in a tiebreaker at 10-6, and I don’t see them at 9-7, so I think we are better off hoping they take the division, and we can control our own destiny against the Bengals if they just lose two of the next four, which is extremely possible.
3 for 6 so far
which is good considering which ones we got
steelers and pats were big
J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets
Man, the Dolphins' schedule closing out is friggin' BRUTAL
Jacksonville, Tennessee, Houston, and Pittsburgh… all of them in the mix for the wild card. Well, I guess after today Tennessee and Houston are for all intents and purposes out of contention… but they’re still mathematically in it so you can bet your ass they’re all gonna be playing hard. Makes me feel good about our situation, although our last two games are against substantially better teams than any of those :(
the Dolphins schedule all year has been brutal
hence the 6-6. we’ve come close to winning against the teams that re better then us, but we just haven’t pulled off the wins.(excluding today’s game vs the Pats). i think we are an overall better team from last year, but we just benefited off of the easy schedule.
GO:Gators, Dolphins, Heat, Marlins, and Yankees
he who fears losing, has already lost
by Gatorfan4life on Dec 6, 2009 6:54 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
The Dolphins are exponentially better this year.
The Dolphins from last year would be 4-8 or 3-9 if they had this schedule. It’s apparent because Miami got dominated by the Ravens, and this year have held their own against elite teams. Oh and btw who am i supposed to root for? The Jags or the Phins? both have tiebreakers on us.
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