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New York Jets Pass Offense vs. Indianapolis Colts Pass Defense

The Jets need Mark Sanchez to play a perfect game. The other quarterback is too good to give gifts in terms of turnovers and field position. If the Colts score any points off a Sanchez turnover, it's going to be very, very difficult for the Jets to win. Mark will probably be in code red all game long. In an ideal world, the Jets will be able to run effectively enough to control the clock and ask him to do about as much as he did at Oakland.

The Colts depend primarily on their defensive line to generate a pass rush. They aren't a team that is going to show Sanchez too many confusing looks at least relatively. It's a scheme based on execution. Indy doesn't generate much of a push up the middle with the tackles. The ends, though, comprise an excellent duo of speed rushers. Robert Mathis and Dwight Freeney have a combined 21 sacks on the year. They both try to strip the ball whenever they go after the quarterback. That's scary given Sanchez's ball protection issues. I feel all right about Freeney matching up against D'Brickashaw Ferguson. Damien Woody will need help against Mathis, though. I can imagine Mathis' speed giving Woody problems. Both ends are battling injuries, though, and were limited in practice this week. The duo didn't start last week in Jacksonville and played situationally. Raheem Brock and Keyunta Dawson started in their place a week ago. Dawson is out with a knee injury. That probably means more Mathis and Freeney.

In order to limit mistakes, I think the Jets tell Sanchez to make Dustin Keller his first look and hope Dustin can find a hole when the Colts play zone. Gary Brackett, Clint Session, and Philip Wheeler, Indy's linebackers, are average in coverage. In theory, Dustin could have an edge, but I'm sold on that. These guys are pretty athletic, and Keller hasn't lit the world on fire.

There could be some advantages on the outside. Marlin Jackson is out for the year with the Colts at corner. Kelvin Hayden is a starter at corner. The Jets will be able to thank Indianapolis for giving him an obscene contract in the offseason in a few years when Darrelle Revis' rookie pact ends. How Hayden plays Braylon Edwards will be a key. The Colts will want to stack the box. If Edwards wins the matchup, the Colts will have to keep safety help more than they want instead of dedicating a defender to the run. The Jets may take a look deep early to keep the Colts honest. The other starter, Jerraud Powers, is out for this one, leaving Jacob Lacey against Jerricho Cotchery. That looks good for the Jets.

Ultimately, though, the Jets don't want the passing game to decide it. Even if certain matchups do look favorable, trading touchdowns with Peyton Manning isn't something Mark Sanchez is ready to do at this point.

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Comments

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playoff hopes

I really don’t expect the Jets to win this week. They blew their chances first against Buffalo, then last week against Atlanta. Who ever is making Sanchez throw into 30 mph winds while in the lead should be fired.

by Double T on Dec 26, 2009 10:19 AM EST reply actions  

Were really not supposed to win this game, so of course it means we will. We seem to do so much better when their are no expectations. Expect it to be a close one, but if Sanchez is throwing it out of 3rd and long, we are not winning this game. Although the Colts secondary is nothing special, they don’t have to be with their pass rush.

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by David_Wyatt on Dec 26, 2009 10:42 AM EST reply actions  

Is Bob Sanders playing or is he out for the year?

by chrebetsthebet on Dec 26, 2009 10:56 AM EST reply actions  

He is out for the season with torn biceps I think

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by David_Wyatt on Dec 26, 2009 11:10 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah, missed the first 6 with the naggging knee issue he's had for a few years

then first game back, freak injury. A lot of his injuries can be pinned on his size and style of play (the knee and shoulder issues) but this one was just bad luck.

Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.

It's shocking how much can slip your perception

Even your eyes lie

by shake n bake on Dec 26, 2009 11:25 AM EST up reply actions  

If the Jets passing game doesn't revolve around throwing it at whoever Tim Jennings (#23)

is covering, your OC should be fired. With Powers out Jennings will be in the nickel. He’ll be awful most of the game and might flash one or two great plays, maybe.

Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.

It's shocking how much can slip your perception

Even your eyes lie

by shake n bake on Dec 26, 2009 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

It sounds like a bit of a matchup of futility. The Jets haven’t gotten any production out of the slot this year.

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by John B on Dec 26, 2009 11:39 AM EST up reply actions  

oh don't worry about that, they've been sliding Hayden inside in the nickel quite a bit

so you’ll probably get Jennings on Cotchery or Edwards in the nickel relatively often.

Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.

It's shocking how much can slip your perception

Even your eyes lie

by shake n bake on Dec 26, 2009 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

I bet a few screens would work nicely this week……arr if only we were capable of executing one

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by David_Wyatt on Dec 26, 2009 11:44 AM EST reply actions  

screens are tricky with the Colts

you’ll get the DL to fly after the QB, out of the play, but if it’s not run well the Colts emphasis on LB speed and DB tackling will show and the screen will get swarmed behind the line.

Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.

It's shocking how much can slip your perception

Even your eyes lie

by shake n bake on Dec 26, 2009 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Well we don’t really run them and when we do they are not run well, in fact it’s been years since we have successfully run the screen.

Writer/Assistant editor
Eternal optimist
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Gang Green Nation
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by David_Wyatt on Dec 26, 2009 12:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Woodhead would be a good screen receiver

Or maybe we could try throwing to Greene or Richardson
And maybe it would be nice to have a few more Brad Smith wildcat passes – he’s good at getting the throw off quickly.

by Rabbit T on Dec 27, 2009 7:59 AM EST up reply actions  

i really hope

if sanchez is throwing interceptions he gets benched. When Thomas Jones had that stupid 15yd penalty he got benched for a bit, sanchez shouldn’t be any different.
We need to win this game, dont really see it happening if sanchez is struggling.

by renzen on Dec 26, 2009 2:22 PM EST reply actions  

About Edwards and Cotchery

Earlier in the year, I was in favor of unloading Edwards at the end of the season and drafting a top-rank WR (or trading Kerry Rhodes for one). However, in the last few weeks, Edwards seems to have improved, and he has become a certifiable deep threat.
It’s a classic stereotypical comparison: Cotchery is the more known, solid, mid-range yardage guy, while Edwards is the deep threat who can either send you into ecstasy (with a bomb catch) or make you swear at your screen (dropped footballs) and you have no idea which is going to happen.
I’ve noticed that in recent games, Sanchez has been throwing to Edwarrds more and Cotchery less – I wonder whether that’s a consequence of Edwards’ improved play, Cotchery drawing more coverage, or some kind of a change in game plans.
I like Cotchery a lot, but he’s not a gamebreaker – you don’t see him often with 8-10 catches for 120+ yards, 4 or 5 for 60 to 70 is his usual game. However, he is one of the most reliable receivers around.

by Rabbit T on Dec 27, 2009 7:57 AM EST reply actions  

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